Given this bonkers market, even if 100% of the world recognized the US was in recession, I am not sure what you can predict would happen.
Things will probably get worse before they get better and I'm not sure that there's much most people can do about it anyway besides giving up and buying Labubus (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1O6bN2zWSM)
Actually, you're already a little late on this. Gold is up almost 40% in 2025 but most observers seem to think it still has room to run.
Basically, we have a perfect storm of economic idiocy brewing on multiple fronts and gold and commodities are likely to be one of the few safe havens.
Capital is fleeing the US and not only can the Fed not stop it but it is under political pressure to accelerate it.