So 52%, not 93%, and I can't find a link to where UBS published this information.
But here are some other recent figures from UBS (or at least attributed to them):
2022-05-05: 0% https://www.ubs.com/global/en/investment-bank/insights-and-d...
2022-06-21: 40% https://finance.yahoo.com/news/odds-hard-landing-u-economy-2...
2022-08-30: 60% https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/ubs-raises-...
2023-07-19: Goldman Sachs says 20% https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/the-probabili...
2024-08-27: 25% https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/ubs-wealth-management-rai...
I think the number is largely useless, and this article is even moreso.
Edit: there's one open bet on a US recession in 2025 on Kalshi that's gone down to only a 5% chance. Sort of fascinating how it's exact opposite of what TFA is saying. I'd link but not sure if that's kosher.
I guess it's kinda like betting on who will win an election vs. betting on a candidate conceding an election. The odds aren't necessarily the same, even though they're (on paper) closely related events.