just a copypasta i particularly like. It's a checklist i don't know which ones apply here, but it's likely that at least one does.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-car-sales-hit-2025-1226...
https://about.bnef.com/insights/clean-transport/global-elect...
https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2025
https://web.archive.org/web/20250904191345/https://www.ftpor...
> by this time it ships li-ion advances will match it
But the reason it applies is that this new battery is a li-ion advance so it only has to match itself.
You don't need revolutionary batteries (similarly you don't need next generation nuclear plants, ordinary ones create so immense amount of wealth for generations). Batteries improved like 10-15% since early Teslas. Similarly motor/aero/electronics efficiency. Overall 30% gain in range. If right charge infrastructure it's perfectly enough for 99% of passenger cars.
Toyota, for example, is seemingly trying to outdo Musk’s “self driving next year” claims with their own “solid state batteries next year” claims. Toyota have been making these promises for nearly a decade now, and it looks like Musk’s lies will come true before Toyota ever ships a single solid state battery to a customer.
They have even been some next-gen battery products that actually launched and actually got reviewed by “legitimate“ YouTubers, and later turned out to be not as advertised. As far as I’m concerned, it’s all bullshit until it’s in the hands of independent labs.