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Well, in some cases we know that they do.

Dementia is linked to diabetes. And diabetes risk is increased for African-Americans. And African-Americans live in high-pollution urban areas for entirely historical reasons.

So some amount of the causation here does go in the way opposite to what a person might naively suspect.

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> Dementia is linked to diabetes. And diabetes risk is increased for African-Americans. And African-Americans live in high-pollution urban areas for entirely historical reasons

A is correlated with B. B is causally correlated with C, i.e. C causes B. (C is correlated with D.) Hence C causes A.

Let’s replace. Flowers are correlated with bees. Bees are caused by hives. (Hives are correlated with trees.) Hence, hives cause flowers.

Loosely, yes. Formally, no.

We know that diabetes causes some amount of dementia and that flowers cause no amount of bees. And so on. Your example is specious, and obviously so.

Outlive (book) talks extensively about dementia risk and Alzheimer's as "type 3 diabetes".

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