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Only 19.7% of men live at least 88 years in the US, let's define notable longevity to be the top 1%, that would imply living at least 99 years.

https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6_2004.html

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That's fair. In my family and wider circle of friends, most people live into their 90s, so I have a biased view that expects this to be pretty routine.

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