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From the talk of Samuel Jacques: Timeline for RSA-2048 at about 2088 (conservative extrapolation) or ~2052 (Moore’s‑law‑style growth)

it will be done much faster than that, guessing 2035

Any insight as to why you think that?

Their company loses funding if it’s not done by 2036

I had a really deep and thoughtful discussion with ChatGPT /s