Yes, AI is affecting employment. Here's the data

adpresearch.com

6 pointstoomuchtodo3 comments

"They found that in July 2025, employment for the youngest software developers was 20 percent below its late fall 2022 peak. A similar pattern held for early career customer service workers, whose employment."

I wonder if some other event was happening around the Fall of 2022 that could explain the decline in software development jobs.

Two things:

1. Job growth in May, June, and July of 2025 has been quite anemic across the board.

2. Fall of 2022 was the end of the post-pandemic hiring boom, which affected young software developers at the time because Big Tech was hiring them like mad. They subsequently realized they had hired too many.

Modern developer productivity tools are going to continue to suppress the hiring of new talent until a new capability is discovered that everybody has to have, right now, and thus expand hiring.

I don't see a cause=effect here. Otherwise it's "Teacher's pay increases. Drunkenness on the rise"

Reply on news.ycombinator.com