Is it bad that I hope it's not a significant improvement in coding?
Earth for humans, not machines, not AI
Once sector of the economy would cut down on investment spending, which can be easily offset by decreasing the interest rate.
But this is a short-term effect. What I'm worried is a structural change of the labor market, which would be positive for most people, but probably negative for people like me.
I don't mind losing my programming job in exchange for being able to go to the pharmacy for my annual anti-cancer pill.
But, what happens when you lose that programming job and are forced to take a job at a ~50-70% pay reduction? How are you paying for that anti-cancer drug with a job with no to little health insurance?
Have you looked at how expensive prescription drug prices are without (sometimes WITH) insurance? If you are no longer employed, good luck paying for your magical pill.
I don't think it is "bad" to be sincerely worried that the current trajectory of AI progress represents this trade.
The likelihood of all that is incredibly slim. It's not 0% -- nothing ever really is -- but it is effectively so.
Especially with the economics of scientific research, the reproducibility crisis, and general anti-science meme spreading throughout the populace. The data, the information, isn't there. Even if it was, it'd be like Alzheimer's research: down the wrong road because of faked science.
There is no one coming to save humanity. There is only our hard work.
How exactly do you wish death comes to you?
If you solve everything that kills you then you don't die from "just aging" anymore.
https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-...
> Children aged 0-14, and teenagers and young adults aged 15-24, each account for less than one per cent
> Adults aged 25-49 contribute around 5 in 100 (4%) of all cancer death
oh yea can cancer has nothing to do with age, its just all random like stepping on a nail.
But of course it's not, because we have near-100% cures for both. Just like we should have for every other affliction, which would make being old no longer synonymous with being sick and frail and dying.
- 20% in those 65 and older.
for tetanus
Age would be irrelevant even if cured everything else
I don't see how thats affliction of old
Any disease cured/death avoided by AI yet?
Stop pretending that the people behind this technology is genuinely motivated by what's best for humanity.
there is some improvements in some benchs and not else worthy of note in coding. i only took a peek though so i might be wrong
But yeah, you are correct in that no matter what, we're going to be left holding the bag.
"Dotcom" was never recovered. It, however, did pave the way for web browsers to gain rich APIs that allowed us to deliver what was historically installed desktop software on an on-demand delivery platform, which created new work. As that was starting to die out, the so-called smartphone just so happened to come along. That offered us the opportunity to do it all over again, except this time we were taking those on-demand applications and turning them back into installable software just like in the desktop era. And as that was starting to die out COVID hit and we started moving those installable mobile apps, which became less important when people we no longer on the go all the time, back to the web again. As that was starting to die out, then came ChatGPT and it offered work porting all those applications to AI platforms.
But if AI fails to deliver, there isn't an obvious next venue for us to rebuild the same programs all over yet again. Meta thought maybe VR was it, but we know how that turned out. More likely in that scenario we will continue using the web/mobile/AI apps that are already written henceforth. We don't really need the same applications running in other places anymore.
There is still room for niche applications here and there. The profession isn't apt to die a complete death. But without the massive effort to continually port everything from one platform to another, you don't need that many people.
I'm not worried about the scenario in which AI replaces all jobs, that's impossible any time soon and it would probably be a good thing for the vast majority of people.
What I'm worried about is a scenario in which some people, possibly me, will have to switch from a highly-paid, highly comfortable and above-average-status jobs to jobs that are below avarage in wage, comfort and status.