Email Will Never Die - The Man Who Invented It Reveals Why
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readwriteweb.com
It's the same reason that we can call a web site a "page" or a "document" despite the fact that a modern web site is actually several programs running insider your browser (flash, custom JS, HTML rendering) working together with programs running on a number of different servers. That's nothing like a paper document, but we use the metaphor because it's been extended a little bit at a time.
Email doesn't die because gmail can send to hotmail and to every other domain.
The entrepreneurs trying to replace it will focus their effort on one exclusive platform which they know they could monetize if they hit a tipping point. Unfortunately, the very motivation to profit is what creates the biggest problem.
The only true solution to email is a decentralized system, that many other companies could utilize. Unfortunately, once you have a system which is easy to create competitors you get instant commoditization. Once you have that, the economics of the idea suck which means that VC, and other investment money will never chase that system. In other words, a decentralized system is worthless from the idea stage due to the expectation of commoditization.
That is why email is “unlikely” to be replaced.
It really sucks because you're so limited to what program you use. Especially Facebook and soon Twitter too.
Ray Tomlinson: "In the fall of 1971, Tomlinson sent the first network email".
To that end (shameless plug) some friends and I have been building Lightermail to solve this problem for us. We're getting close to opening the service up to a wider pool of private beta users and would love to have some HN users and their feedback in the mix. If interested head over to https://lightermail.com and we'll be sure to get back to you in the next couple weeks with an invite code.
Email is a basic and all inclusive communication method. People later on have added and tagged along their businesses to ride on the same method. Those who are facebooking, tweetering, chatting, texting, etc, are still communicating on the same basic principle which binds the email.
However, headlines like "email will never die" or "email is dead" are as stupid as they can be.
Well, you kind of have a point there. I use Apple mail and iCal against our corporate Exchange, but when I have to schedule a meeting, I either have to log into the Windows terminal server or use the outlook web interface to do it reliably.
It would be nice if there were an RFC for calendaring protocols, even if that RFC was just codifying Exchange.
http://www.ietf.org/rfc/rfc2445.txt
Google seems to attach an ics to all the cal events it sends out.
The more related standard that could have done this is ICAP, but that spec never happened and died as a draft back in 1998, long enough ago that the acronym got reused in 2003 by RFC 3507 for something unrelated to calendar access.
http://tools.ietf.org/html/draft-oleary-icap-04
Right now, it seems like all of the effort is behind CalDAV (which is based on WebDAV), which actually has some published RFCs behind it (dating back through 2007) and multiple clients (including Apple's iCal and Google Calendar).
Like CalDAV:
The email works fine, apart from the annoying thing where sometimes outlook doesn't include all the recipients properly as they're internal exchange users.