People who say this don’t understand the breakthrough we had in the last couple of years. 15 years ago I was laughing at people predicting AI would turn everything upside down soon. I’m not laughing anymore. I’ve been around long enough to see some AI hype cycles and this time it is different.

15 years ago I, working on AI systems at a FAANG, would have told you “real” AI probably wasn’t coming in my lifetime. 15 years ago the only engineers I knew who thought AI was coming soon were dreamers and Silicon Valley koolaiders. The rest of us saw we needed a step-function break through that may not even exist. But it did, and we got there, a couple of years ago.

Now I’m telling people it’s here. We’ve hit a completely different kind of technology, and it’s so clear to people working in the field. The earthquake has happened and the tsunami is coming.