Anyway, I don't think it's possible in this forum to have a conversation about it, if "ChatGPT is humongous" is a controversial, downvotable POV.
Anyway, I don't think it's possible in this forum to have a conversation about it, if "ChatGPT is humongous" is a controversial, downvotable POV.
A network effect is ~ "I must use this specifically because the people I am connected to, socially or professionally, also use this".
I can trivially replace OpenAI's ChatGPT with DeepSeek or Anthropic's Claude, and indeed often do so.
For any of these providers to benefit from a network effect, it has to do to LLMs what Microsoft did to spreadsheets with Office. I think one of these businesses may well be able to, but so far, none have.
Network effect in this context means the product is successful primarily because everyone else is using it. Not easy to compete with Instagram/Tiktok because you need most users to use your new app, not just a few. Amazon can only deliver fast because they have a huge delivery network, because most people use Amazon.
No such effect or moat exists for AI companies. In fact, it is the opposite. Same prompt will give you very similar results in any AI product.
You can't compete with amazon now, even with a better product. But you can easily kill AI companies if you have a better model.