There is some denial amongst the startup community at the moment - this recession will be very long, very painful and few will be exempt - those that cut early and cut deep may survive okay - if they have revenue.
That is not the consensus among economists: http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node%2F2785
IBM expects a good 2009: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/21/technology/companies/21blu...
Enterprises now have vast quantities of surplus desktops and servers because of redundancies and contraction in the markets they operate (a recession is a contraction) - whatever you needed 3 servers for in 2008 you only need 2 now.
IBM are also living off the massive defence and security budgets under the Bush administration - this is all coming to an end. They are in for a very painful 09 H2 and 2010.
Any tech hardware company who thinks they are exempt from this is off their heads.
And any economist blogger who thinks this will all be over in 09 H2 is just whoring for pageviews.
Hopefully it isn't as bad as it sounds.
It's what Ballmer should have really said, but couldn't.