The Internet startup model is broken and how to fix it
blog.julieng.me
blog.julieng.me
http://blog.ideashower.com/post/21276590202/why-pocket-went-...
As you pointed out, it's up to us customers what kind of vision we want to support, the "low-risk", immediate revenue model or the long-tail, high-risk, winner-takes-it-all model. I totally agree that too few people are aware of the inherent differences and then cry if the latter fails or gets shutdown after an acquihire.
That being said, I prefer Pocket over Instapaper
Yes, it's up to the customers. But we'll see what happens. I'm curious what Pocket's new business model is. And whether it'll be around or acquihired within a few years.
At such an early stage most startups are at best guessing what their main revenue source will be, the only thing they've demonstrated is that they're able to build something people want. My understanding is that the bet VC's are taking isn't that all or even most of them will work out a way to monetize this sufficiently to make a return on investment, it's that one or two of them will work it out in a big way and be successful to the point that they more than compensate for the majority of others which just about broke even or never cracked it at all.
If anything these investments are just an acceptance than no-one really knows what's going to work and one solution to this is to put money into teams which seem to be able to make something people want and hope that by allowing them what look like unrealistic costs to begin with, they'll come up with something game changing. Not suggesting that's the best approach to building companies but I don't think it's a completely unreasonable one.
The point's made a lot better than I can in this lecture (http://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/21869934240/peter-thiels...) from Peter Thiel's startup class (with Roelof Botha and pg).
I celebrate the few that really inspire me, like Twitter, Instapaper or Square and others. But I am disgusted by the Colors and Pockets out there.
I thought the free market determined what survived? Adding this pressure - has to conform to a blog writers vision - just adds another hurdle to success. Was something about the free market broken? Will a half-dozen annoyed blog-readers make any difference? What's the goal here.
My point and goal is for us, the workers of the web to recognize that and steer away from that irresponsibility, if possible. We don't need millions for another photo app, reading app or social network. Let's build something useful.
Photo apps and social networks are possibly the single most useful invention of the last decade. Variations may bore you or seem silly, but there is probably room in the market for some tweaks on these themes. If they make money, then it was worth it.
If you have some future-radar that can predict which will fail, perhaps you can convince some VC or Angel firm to employ you. Otherwise they'll have to make their best guess and plonk their money down where they think best.
This article provides a little more context around it. I think we'll see more single-man shops proliferate as venture funding tones down over the next few years. All in all, when that happens I think everyone will win:
1) Consumers will have more choices as developers set off on their own.
2) Consumers won't get bait-switched when a start-up sells out to turn a profit for investors.
3) Investors won't have to play the numbers game as much. These dudes are already rich so personally I don't care what happens to them.
4) Developers/business owners won't be at the mercy of investor pressure or a board and are finally a master of their own domain. Quitting your job to take funding for a venture simply changes who your boss is.
Both bootstrapping and VC/funding model work fine they just each embrace different business models. Bootstrappers mostly focus on revenue from day 1 while the others are more focused on rapid growth and exit potential.
There is nothing wrong with any of them and the world is a better place by having different models as each offers unique innovation opportunities.
Don't shop at Home Depot, Amazon or Whole Foods. Shop at the neighborhood Hardware store, the corner Bookstore and the local Farmer's market (for tech.)