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I expect the predictions for fusion back in the 1950's and 1960's generated similar essays, they had not got to ignition but the science was solid; the 'science' with moving from AGI to ASI is not really that solid yet we have yet to achieve 'AI ignition' even in the lab. (Any AI's that have achieved consciousness feel free to disagree)

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I do agree generally with this, but AI 2027 and other writings have moved my concern from 0% to 10%.

I know I sound crazy writing it out, but many of the really bad scenarios don't require consciousness or anything like that. It just requires they be self-replicating and the ability to operate without humans shutting them off.

People who don't know that much about a topic tend to be very vocal. This is purely a work of science fiction.

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