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So much bikeshedding and armchair expertise displayed in this field.

Which would that be, the arguments for ASI being near and how that could be apocalyptic, or the push back on those timelines and doomsday (or utopian) proclamations?

I don’t think the real divide is “doom tomorrow” vs “nothing to worry about.” The crux is a pretty straightforward philosophical question "what does it even mean to generalize intelligence and agency", how much can scaling laws tell us about that?

The back-and-forth over σ²’s and growth exponents feels like theatrics that bury the actual debate.

>The crux is a pretty straightforward philosophical question "what does it even mean to generalize intelligence and agency", how much can scaling laws tell us about that?

Truly a bizarre take. I'm sure the Dinosaurs also debated the possible smell and taste of the asteroid that was about to hit them. The real debate. lol.

The dinosaurs didn't create the asteroid that hit them, so they never had the chance for a real debate.

with all that signaling... it's almost like they're trying to communicate!!! who would've thought!?

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