Prediction: Iran will fold somewhat quickly and history will remember this as good move.
US will be forced to join and millions of its citizen will die in WW3.
There is just no much other places for people to run when shit hits fan.
But I’m also not sure that the situations are comparable. In the case of Ukraine which is probably most similar to Iran from an economic standpoint, had many refugees who were temporarily fleeing Russian aggression but planned to return to Ukraine. Iran, especially if/when it’s out from under sanctions has a more robust economy and geopolitical forces going for it, versus Libya or Syria, in my view.
Economy will matter only if there will be no fallout in Iran which is not guaranteed.
> Economy will matter only if there will be no fallout in Iran which is not guaranteed.
Sure it depends on what all happens, but my point was it is different than Syria or Libya in many aspects.
But policies directly influence people's motivation to become illegal migrants in a particular country.
This is why the west has been working to counter Iran's nuclear ambitions for decades.
(... no)
The west has been working to counter Iran's ongoing nuclear weapons program for decades.
Does not sound like Chomsky is saying "no, iran isn't a threat" to me.
But yeah, I do think history will remember this as one of the few good things Trump does.
The IDF has total air superiority. The regime has very little capabilities left at all.
In Lebanon the state is attempting to reassert itself. In Syria the rebels took control. But with no foreign boots on the ground, and no organized opposition ready to step in, what exactly is supposed to happen after the regime folds?
You really believe Trump would take meaningful action against Russia? He can even make a forceful statement, let alone act.