I'm not sure; clearly DFW had some math aptitude but these also could have been honest mistakes. Presumably it would have been harder for editors to check these things in the 90s.
The probability error seems harder to explain and likely just a mistake.
Edit - While searching a bit more about this, I found an interesting perspective on a message board:
> The main thing that I think argues for Pemulis not being as smart as he thinks he is, is that he is the analogue of Polonious from Hamlet. In Hamlet, the court jester (the "fool") is actually really wise and always speaks the truth (=Mario), while the King's supposedly "wise" counselor, Polonious, actually gets everything wrong.
I find that pretty compelling. I hadn't really thought about deeper correspondences with Hamlet beyond Hal and his parents.