Inconvertibly demonstrating a dramatic failure in its, and many of its kind's, ability to reason.
You act as if statistical processes can’t ever scale into reasoning, despite the fact that humans themselves are gradient-trained statistical learners over evolutionary and developmental timescales.
I very strongly agree with you. :)
> Reasoning is not difficult to define
> Reasoning exists on a spectrum
> statistical processes [can] scale into reasoning
It seems like quite a descent here, starting with the lofty heights of condemning skeptics as "cretins" and insisting the definition is easy... down to what sounds like the introduction to a flavor of panpsychism [0], where even water flowing downhill is a "statistical process" which at enough scale would be "reasoning".
I don't think that's a faithful match to what other people mean [1] when they argue LLMs don't "reason."
That’s really not what’s happening though. People who claim LLMs can do X and Y often don’t even understand how LLMs work. The opposite is also true. They just open a prompt and get an output and shout Eureka. Of course not everyone is like this, but majority are. It’s similar to what we think about thinking itself. You read these comments and everyone is an expert on human brain and how it works. It’s fascinating.
I personally believe that not being sure about something, esp. on a topic as complicated and as this one, remaining open to different possibilities, and having a bit of skepticism, is healthy.
Imagine a simple, but humongous hash table, that maps every possible prompt of 20000 letters to the most appropriate answer in current time.
(How? Let’s say outsourcing to east asia or aliens…)
Would you say such mechanism is doing reasoning?