It's increasingly a luxury to be a software engineer who is able to avoid some combination of morally reprehensible leadership harming the public, quality craftsmanship in software being in freefall, and ML proficiency being defined downwards to admit terrible uses of ML.

AI coding stuff is a massive lever on some tasks and used by experts. But its not self-driving and the capabilities of tge frontier vendor stuff might be trending down, they're certainly not skyrocketing.

Any other tool: a compiler, an editor, a shell, even a browser, but I'd say build tools are the best analogy: you have chosen to become proficient or even expert or you haven't and rely on colleagues or communities that provide that expertise. Pick a project or a company: you know if you should be messing around with the build or asking a build person.

AI is no diffetent. Claude 4 Opus just went GA and its in power user tune still, they don't have the newb/cost-control defaults dialed in yet and so its really useful and probably will be for a few days until they get the PID controller wired up to whatever a control vector is these days, and then it will tank to useless slop just like 3.7.

For a week I'll get a little boost in my ouyput and pay them a grand and be glad I did, and then it will go back to worse than useless.

These guys only know one business plan.