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Comment by saubeidl | Hacker News Reader

It feels like LLM progress in general has kinda stalled and we're only getting small incremental improvements from here.

I think we've reached peak LLM - if AGI is a thing, it won't be through this architecture.

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Diffusion LLMs seem like they could be a huge change

Check this out from yesterday (watch the short video here):

https://simonwillison.net/2025/May/21/gemini-diffusion/

From:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44057820

Yup especially locally diffusion models will be big.

Even if LLMs never reach AGI, they're good enough to where a lot of very useful tooling can be built on top of/around them. I think of it more as the introduction of computing or the internet.

That said, whether or not being a provider of these services is a profitable endeavor is still unknown. There's a lot of subsidizing going on and some of the lower value uses might fall to the wayside as companies eventually need to make money off this stuff.

this was my take as well. Though after a while I've started thinking about it closer to the introduction of electricity which in a lot of ways would be considered the second stage of the industrial revolution, the internet and AI might be considered the second stage of the computing revolution (or so I expect history books to label it as). But just like electricity, it doesn't seem to be very profitable for the providers of electricity, but highly profitable for everything that uses it.

Which brings up the question of why AGI is a thing at all. Shouldn't LLMs just be tools to make humans more productive?

Think of the poor vcs who are selling agi as the second coming of christ

I think it's a bit early to say. At least in my domain, the models released this year (Gemini 2.5 Pro, etc). Are crushing models from last year. I would therefore not by any means be ready to call the situation a stall.

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