Is Mark Zuckerberg in over his hoodie as Facebook CEO?
latimes.com
latimes.com
Basically, if you bought a company with a P/E of 90 and decreasing revenue (it had dropped 6% in the quarter) then you shouldn't be playing with other people's money. Everyone knew it was a massive risk.
Those crazy 28-year olds with their hoodies are wrecking society! Has he heard of Google?
Whatever Facebook does, they certainly shouldn't go pandering to ignorant bankers like this guy NYT quoted. Being obsessed with quarterly financials is the reason we had to wait for Apple to make a decent phone. Every other company had to keep rolling out their incrementally polished turds in time for Christmas sales.
To be less flippant: I can't help but consider that although there are significant clouds over Facebook's future ("How to make money on mobile?" being the biggest question) some of the negativity surrounding Facebook is due to Mark being a young CEO and being product-focused. Like many others I don't know what the best path to revenue for Facebook but there is a very intelligent team in place and I think they are well suited to figure out mobile.
Markets are fickle - on the short term they tend to react to emotion. Give it a few years, though, and we'll have a much more reliable measure of whether Zuck is creating real value.
Amazon's initial shareholder letters were basically "Yes, we know we're not turning a profit right now, but that's because we believe in our long term plan". They also detailed what they were doing to make sure that their short-term spending was going to result in long-term returns. Amazon's letters and SEC filings were focused almost completely on this message: That we're spending money now to make a LOT more money in the future.
Facebook, perhaps due to the competitive space that they're in, really haven't done anything like that. Their filings have more of a "Deer in the Headlights" feeling than anything else, with mobile revenue being basically 0, and not adequately explaining the massive expense increases for Q2 2012. Those are red flags for investors. It's a completely different message from Amazon's.
"The danger, Ritholtz said, is that the drooping stock price could tag the company itself with a "stink of failure" that could make advertisers less willing to use Facebook."
I don't decide where to spend my advertising dollars based on the company's stock price. I do a trial run and see if the CTR and conversions come under my customer lifetime value. If it does, then I pump more money into the ads. No where does stock value come into the equation.
I couldn't care less if the company is dieing - as long as I'm gaining more money (in terms of LTV of new customers) for less money than I'm spending on ads, it's a win to my business.
If the company goes belly up...well I just move my advertising budget somewhere else.
edit: I was reading the comments of the article and one of them notes that by selling the IPO at 4x of what it should have been priced, Zuck showed that he is a brilliant CEO.
Keep telling yourself that.
On second thought, he could pull a Jobs and get pushed out, only to save the company from death and then take it to stratospheric heights decades later.
What I'm getting at is that Zuckerberg has the ability stay, and he probably wants to stay. We can mock him all we want for what I consider wall street's mistakes, but what's his motivation to care?
The language probably reflects that the writers in question are representing the newspaper instead of their own opinion, but the wishy-washy nature of the way it is phrased makes the entire argument diffuse to me.
http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-05-07/tech/31602869...
This saying applies to management teams/financial markets as well.