Unless China handicaps the their progress as well (which they won’t, see made in China 2025), all you’re doing is handing the future to deepseek et al.
We can selectively ban uses without banning the technology wholesale; e.g., nuclear power generation is permitted, while nuclear weapons are strictly controlled.
If it's winner takes all for the first company/nation to have AGI (presuming we can control it), then slowing down progress of any kind with regulation is a risk.
I don't think there's a good enough analogy to be made, like your nuclear power/weapons example.
The hypothetical benefits of an aligned AGI outweigh those of any other technology by orders of magnitude.
We should not be racing ahead because China is, but investing energy in alignment research and international agreements.
We do know that. By literally looking at China.
> The hypothetical benefits of an aligned AGI outweigh those of any other technology by orders of magnitude.
AGI aligned with whom?
I think the more relevant question is: Do you want to live in a Chinese dystopia, or a European one?
A non-AI dystopia is the least likely scenario.
With US already having lost ideologigal war with russia and China, Europe is very much next
No - I'm suggesting that China will reap the benefits of AI much more than Europe will, and they will eclipse Europe economically. Their dominance will follow, and they'll be able to dictate terms to other countries (just as the US is doing, and has been doing).
> And I don't think China will become a utopia with unregulated AI.
Did you miss all the places I used the word "dystopia"?
> My impression after having visited it was not one of a utopia, and knowing how they use technology, I don't think AI will usher it in, because our visions of utopia are at odds. They may well enjoy what they have.
Comparing China when I was a kid, not that long ago, to what it is now: It is a dystopia, and that dystopia is responsible for much of the improvements they've made. Enjoying what they have doesn't mean it's not a dystopia. Most people don't understand how willing humans are to live in a dystopia if it improves their condition significantly (not worrying too much about food, shelter, etc).
No, just control. America exerts influence and control over Europe without having had to attack it in generations.
The primary difference is the observability - with satellites we had some confidence that other nations respected treaties, or that they had enough reaction time for mutual destruction, but with this AI development we lack all that.