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> The smart money among his investors know these issues to be fundamental in deciding if OAI will succeed or not, and are asking the hard questions.

OpenAI has already succeeded.

If it ends up being a $100B company instead of a $10T company, that is success. By a very large margin.

It's hard to imagine a world in which OpenAI just goes bankrupt and ends up being worth nothing.

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I can, and I would say it's a likely scenario, say 30%. If they don't have a significant edge over their competitors in the capabilities of their models, what's left? A money losing web app, and some API services that I'm sure aren't very profitable either. They can't compete with Google, Grok, Meta, MS, Amazon... They just can't.

They can end being the Altavista of this era.

it goes bankrupt when the cost of running the business outweights the earnings in the long run

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