What does it mean for a technology to follow Wright's Law?
ourworldindata.org
ourworldindata.org
I would bet Roser is wrong here and he can't provide a reference for his claims here. I'd predict that they do decline exponentially, it is just that (1) we have already produced a huge number of them so it's hard to observe the next doubling of cumulative production, and (2) the learning rate exponent is a lot worse than in the more obvious examples like solar panels or deep learning.