Splitting the community in half? Nah. If Matt needs to go, the community who is more interested in just making money (we're not "post economic" like Matt) will move aggressively to cut him out like cancer.
Sure he controls a scary amount of the ecosystem NOW, but we've seen big vendors express interest in hosting repositories, and major plugin vendors move quickly to secure their distribution and update models.
My tiny agency has already mitigated many risks and shifted our support towards developers who see a future PostMatt™
We'll be fine because WordPress belongs to us, not Matt.