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> zero evidence that the protests have had negative impact on support for Palestinians

Of course there is [1][2]. (You see similar effects from e.g. bridge blocking in the broader protest literature.)

And again, what do you think happened in 2024 that caused support for Palestine per your source to drop?

> media is staunchly Zionist

The population has been broadly pro-Israel until very recently. The media market is, in the end, a market.