We have an opportunity here to rebuild the industrial capability and walk ourselves a bit further up the cost structure now with the help of having access to chinese output and what we are doing instead is pretty foolish.
That talk of what we pay vs what we would pay is being used in your argument to point out the pain of losing access to a cheap chinese product when it's more useful for antitrust discussion of where market power is being abused and instead just pointing out the direct pain of a china walking away situation in my opinion.
That sounds like a good reason to favor local manufacturing.
> On the other hand, ramping up production that has been offshored is not that easy, and is a lot more expensive initially.
And that sounds like a good reason to do it now and not wait for a crisis when the consequences would be worse.
It depends on the nature of that particular good's production.
Some industries are incredibly supply-chain and labor-intensive.
Others are capital-intensive.
Others may be knowledge-intensive.
A country should seek to compete in industries it has the most core competencies in.
While US policymakers were following that advice, China did the opposite. They decided what they wanted to compete in and built the core competencies they needed to do so.