China to impose tariffs of 34% on all US goods from April 10
reuters.com
reuters.com
Trade will be less centered around the US and US products and services will take on less importance.
Yes, other countries will be hurt. Some will be hurt more. Seems like the US will come out worse than the average country.
Am I seeing this right?
OTOH the policy is intended to isolate the US economy, and looks like it will achieve that goal. Will be interesting to see how this plays out in the long run, maybe it will be better for the average Joe. It certainly is a break with decades of US economic policy and business as usual.
But Trump and his cronies thought they can win a trade war against the world war, or at least use it as a threat. China did not blink. Now EU will 100% follow that and slap retaliatory tariffs on US and Trump will have to make a choice: to cave or to send US economy into the abyss. Given the man's ego, I would rather bet on the second option.
As to your question, the rest of the world doesn't need to do anything - in reality tariffs are already mostly low (not even remotely close to what Trump showed). Everybody will be hurt, but US will be hurt MUCH more than any single other country.
For some reason US thinks it's the only game in town, but it's not. This isn't 1945... EU economy is on par with US. China's too.
Trump tries to bully everybody, but results are pretty poor so far. The drama in the White House with Zelensky seems ages ago, but what was the result ? Zelensky stand there with his head held high, and despite the show, in the following weeks US restored the aid to Ukraine, without them agreeing to anything at all. Trump thinks he can project strentgh, but so far it's pretty much the opposite.
No one really understands why he'd say that. And no one has succeeded in talking him out of it. So we're now seeing global trade policy collapse based on this weird invention of his.
Like many of us*, Trump has one tool in his chest. For Trump, that tool is extortion. Extortion has worked for him a lot, so why not apply that to all facets of his life?
I don't like the fact that I'm glibly summarizing someone like that, but I think it's pretty close to the truth.
When your one tool is a hammer (extortion), you think everyone else is a nail.
See, for example ...
- Columbia University, etc.
- Law firms that investigated him
- every single country that just got hit with tariffs.
* I think many of us have our own "one tool" that we like. Extortion, however, is a malevolent tool.
Trump is everything you don't want in this situation -- ideologically attached to tariffs, not educated in basic economics, cognitively inflexible, tunnel visioned on trade imbalances, possesses a zero sum worldview his whole life, stubborn, shameless, and surrounded by sycophants. It's bad.