Decidedly not surprised, at least on my end. I wouldn't want to visit a country whose leadership is casually hinting at colonizing me and weaponizing tariffs either.

I don't think anyone is really surprised. My hope is just that the US gets its comeuppance and at one point realizes that if you piss off every single one of your allies for no good reason, eventually they all realize it's cheaper to just dump your assholish ways, regardless of your economic prowess.

I've never been so deeply ashamed of my country as now, and primarily not because of Trump, but because either (a) so many people just actively cheer this on (like before he went on his tirade most MAGA people probably wouldn't have a bad thought at all about Canadians) or (b) the people that obviously know how stupid this all is are being quiet in the stereotypical "for evil to flourish, it only requires good men to do nothing" way.

I'll bite: regardless of your emotions, 70% drop in almost any established process would be surprising. It's not like Trump hasn't been POTUS before either.

That said, it seems like the figure is simply some estimate from an analytics/forecasting shop, not authoritative data. Reminds me of folks who (mis-)predict Apple revenues based on component manufacturer's output reduction.

I call bullshit on the OAG estimate. We'll see...