Resuming arms delivery kind of guarantees no ceasefire deal will be made.
Resuming arms deliveries gives Ukraine a negotiating position. They have some firing to cease.
Whether it actually will lead to a ceasefire is hard to say. There is reason to think that Putin has demands that Ukraine will see as preparation for the next war. Ukraine will be demanding guarantees of future sovereignty that Putin is unlikely to tolerate -- not just a promise, but alliances with the West to enforce them.