Real Chilling Effects
donmoynihan.substack.com
donmoynihan.substack.com
Kudos to the students who were not only aware of this general risk (not just under the current regime, but in many societies), and acted to improve their situation.
Next, they should look at how they're under almost ubiquitous technological surveillance, with little-to-no protections. And now there's emerging "AI" methods to automate harvesting insights from the ubiquitous surveillance fire hoses, and also to automate actions to suppress enemies of the regime. And if you look around, at the pace we're going, it's very easy to believe this will start happening within a year. Maybe they'll decide that one of the best defenses for national security that could happen right now is to cut off the surveillance data wherever possible.
Words being weaponized is a problem that exists for multiple years now in the US. From the free press [1]:
"To give a sense of proportion, only three professors were fired or forced out of schools over something they said in the post-9/11 panic. The modern era of cancel culture (2014 to present), by contrast, has resulted in almost 200 professor terminations. That exceeds even the standard estimate of 100 professors terminated in the second Red Scare (1947 to 1957)."
[1]: https://www.thefp.com/p/american-colleges-gave-birth-to-canc...
So .. basically everyone in the US.
Maybe also people working for US companies abroad? Some of them did at least shut down DEI initiatives in Europe, so not so far fetched to think it is/will affect who they hire? "Oh, this candidate was outspoken against Trump on social media" . Of course, many places this will be seen as a good thing, so maybe it evens out, outside of the US.
No one else wanted to spend the money to sustain the organization needed to put those satellites in service.
It’s that simple. GPS is there because someone spent sufficient money developing it.
Correction globally will take some time, but it will be a permanent one. You don't develop your own space program to scrape it in few years. Europe is there with pretty healthy space program, China may become more open to others, India is way beyond initial successful steps. Reusable rockets are great when they work, but again thats just (at this point well tested) engineering.
China just needs to sit and smile how US is handling them global leadership one big chunk a day. Maybe in 4 years we can send elon permanently on mars with 8 billion middle fingers raised as a 'salute', to start future setup that The expanse showed us or to die there miserably.
There were so many failures that I wouldn't call it "well executed". More like "work hard until it happens to succeed".
This article is about the US changing which group of countries it belongs to, much as China did 40 years ago. So you are likely to get your wish in the sense that US companies will probably not be allowed to build such things anymore, because they might pose a threat to King JD's power.
[edit] Of course the anthropomorphization I've used here isn't a completely serious representation of states, they are a mass of interconnected people and not individual agents, but the metaphor is a valuable shortcut.
Interesting way to see this, as you immediately went to a zero-sum approach of winner takes all, and the other countries must be brain dead. What I meant in this case was, how did the EU not foresee this and dramatically ramp up their internet satellite capabilities. Arguably, the answer is simple, as this was a rhetorical question: the EU approached this topic as they did a lot of things recently - no action, lots of regulation and facing the consequences or said inaction right now
I don't think it's either a winner-take-all situation or a zero-sum one.
One country in Europe is currently being invaded by another European country†, resulting so far in about a million casualties and 16 million refugees. Both countries have established conscription and prohibited emigration for military-age men.
To me this seems like a bigger determinant of how nice life is than anything related to either pay or the level of economic and technological development. Perhaps you disagree.
______
† Some might debate whether it's a European country, because much of its territory is in Asia. However, its capital, currently on fire due to large-scale drone attacks last night, is the largest city in Europe, and most of its population is in Europe.
Even the political instability in the rest of it is less severe than the political instability in the USA. At least for now. I mean, 40% of Germany's land area voted for Nazis to come back, but every other serious party is saying they will not work with the Nazis, which is not how it would go down in the USA.
You can cherry-pick living situations from anywhere in the world. St. Louis, MO is probably a pretty nice place to live if you're living inside Jack Dorsey's house. If you want to make general statements about how nice it is to live on entire continents, you need to take the entire continent into account, not just the part of it you like most or least.
Fortunately for America, most of America is outside the USA, and is very unenthusiastic about the authoritarian tendencies growing in parts of it like El Salvador and the USA.
Having said that, I still think technology has been a net positive. Just imagine living in 1900. It would take months to go from Europe to the US. Medicine was able to cure almost nothing. What we consider simple diseases now would be deadly back then. And you can forget about watching or listening your favorite musicians online. Also, imagine driving with a modern car into a 1900s village. People would be in shock.
I stopped thinking this a decade or so ago. I now think that technology has become a net negative.
Yes, it brings huge benefits as you note. The problem as I see it is that it now brings even larger drawbacks as well.
You see, we are trading improvements in some aspects to that of another.
The thing is you cannot separate the benefits these technological advancements bring with the problems they create. The rate of technological change is much more rapid than our ability as a society to adapt to it. This is one of the source of friction as the negative effect become real only later.
There is no physical law that says technology has to improve - it is our quest, or drive to seek it, we choose it, every time. And I say this as someone who is part of this.
I find it very shortsighted to substract features from personalities of successful visible people that one likes and (selectively) ignore the rest. Why the heck, adult people don't like absolute truths and don't understand those are inseparable parts of a single whole?
elon is a fascist pos, gates is probably a pedophile/hebephile (epstein) pos, so is clinton and orange man, all good epstein's friends. Jobs was a horrible person. Yes they did or are doing some good, but above is still valid. And so on and on.
The best generic explanation I've read on this phenomenon is the article "Shallow Feedback Hollows You Out" by Midjourney's Ivan Vendrov:
https://nothinghuman.substack.com/p/shallow-feedback-hollows...
It’s a different context but I’m reminded of how George Lucas’ work got a lot worse after his divorce from Marcia Lucas, who was not only a very talented film editor in her own right but also apparently unique for having the ability to get him to actually listen to constructive criticism.
Having or applying flexible morality is a very slippery slope to no morality. I mean we're not discussing some academical theory but real situation and real person. People are shocked in recent weeks, I am not just mildly disappointed. The signs were there.
Just to be clear - with such brutal logic many sport folks become undefendable. Or generally famous people. For good reasons. I am fine with that, no need to desperately put people on pedestals which are temporary at best, the whole idea of desperately looking upon somebody is fine in childhood but adults should know better.
Remember, Elon was an avid supporter of minority rights a decade ago.
2 years.
What has been hard won and fought over can easily be lost very fast and the only way to regain it will be through blood and violence.
Mobs suppressing your free speech is never ok. It is a sign of a government that is no longer in power.
It is unclear exactly what these students are worried about ... the details should be provided. Are they discussing the organization of violent resistance for example? Or are they merely worried that simple discussion of government policy will somehow land them in jail. The latter seems ridiculous but it is worth hearing them out in detail.
And somehow in all of this, people on one side are forgetting the numerous attempts at assasination. And the successful assasination of a CEO. Regardless of your political angles, the risk is severaly one sided by any empirical measure right now. To dismiss this is to remove yourself from serious discussion.
> They worried about any record of their words that might be viewed as criticism of the current administration, and somehow weaponized against them.
hth.
Constitutionally protected speech is speech criticising or commenting on the government, and defines the right of citizens to do so.
The government has never had a reaponsibility to ensure all speech is heard, it certainly is not granted a monopoly on power of censorship (again, literally the opposite - no one else has to grant you a platform, but the government cannot take it away), and if you're worried about the power of "the mob" then you really should've worried more when the Supreme Court ruled the police had no duty to protect citizens.
Has the side you're thinking of pardoned the (would be/alleged) assassins? Or perhaps mounted a coup attempt, blamed others for failing to suppress it sooner, then called it a "day of love"?
It isn't that they're discussing anything which would traditionally be considered risky or out of bounds - that's the whole point. It's that they're discussing anything to do with an organisation which has made it quite clear that if it disagrees with you, it will find some way to make your life miserable. Even if it doesn't disagree with you today, who knows what it will disagree with tomorrow? This is the absolute classic way of instilling fear in a population, the original chilling effect - when you don't know what will be forbidden tomorrow, better to say nothing today.
Your latter point on assassination attempts is also very odd. It conflates some broadly disconnected things (an actual attempt on a presidential candidate) with an apparent murder based on political views, two unrelated but very direct consequences which you could perhaps correlate through the types of people targeted. On the other hand you completely ignore the wider systemic violence inherent in stripping people of jobs, healthcare, social security, etc. Do you think those actions will have no consequences? That no deaths will result? Just because a chain of action might have more than one link, doesn't mean the consequences can be dismissed.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Give_me_the_man_and_I_will_giv...
And in the opposite direction as well, where someone is probably guilty of something and prosecution is held back if they're on the 'right side', e.g.:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_U.S._Department_of_Justic...
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Investigations_into_the_Eric_A...
People think of authoritarianism as going after someone, which was prevalent in the 20th century; but it can also be protecting (and enriching) your friends, which has become popular in 21st century regimes.
WHAT?
This is literally the EXACT OPPOSITE of free speech, at least as it is defined in America. The 1st Amendment SPECIFICALLY AND SOLELY prevents the government from putting its thumb on the scales.
Private parties are necessarily allowed to respond to speech with whatever other speech they wish to use, including utilizing their rights to free association (or non-association) in response to what you say.
This is absolutely 100% backwards. I highly suggest reading some basic American civics material or something.
Of course it is sometimes ok. There is no absolute here. It's neither always nor never. If it's never okay, then it is "tyranny of the majority". If it is always ok, then it is "minority rule".
2) The CEO thing was popular across the board, not just with democrats. Health insurance companies are that bad. Everyone who’s not taking their bribes hates them, and I mean hares. Also: again, not a left winger, so yes, I agree with you that right wingers should be regarded as dangerous.
> By the time we left in late 2004, Moscow had been transformed. People who had happily talked with us at the start were now afraid to return our calls. “Now I have this fear all the time,” one told us at the time. There is a similar chill now in Washington. Every day someone who used to feel free to speak publicly against Mr. Trump says they will no longer let journalists quote them by name for fear of repercussions, both Democrats and Republicans
> Some compared the atmosphere to Maoist China, so great were the chilling effects.
i mean, americans have their own history - it's short but it's remarkable
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McCarthyism
In China, when something like this happens, some people shout, "Are we going back to the Cultural Revolution?!"
Why Americans don't talk about McCarthyism?
"Are we going back to the McCarthyism???"
Nobody ever said this
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_companies_involved_in_...
What matters at the end of the day is that despite all the big talk of "freedom of speech" and "doing what's right", companies like Meta or YC almost always bend the knee (and the spine) and play ball to make money even if it contradicts everything they purportedly stood for. Just replace the motto.
You're putting YC into the same box as Meta? I'm probably very naive, but I think it's necessary to defend your users if your business model depends on them. What is YC's business model? It's "innovation". HN is a forum cultivated to encourage free exchange of disruptive ideas. That is not possible under conditions of technofascism. I expect the creators of this forum understand that, are worried, but have maybe convinced themselves it's safe to play along at ideology for now. If I thought there were not a significant cohort of humanist/anti-fascist technologists here I would not stay or contribute and I expect I speak for many others.
Only in the sense that their primary interest is making money and they'll do what it takes to keep making money, whether that's in education, crypto, social media, or the euphemistically called "defense" industry.
> I think it's necessary to defend your users if your business model depends on them
As a user of Big Tech I'm having a hard time coming up with too many situations when I was "defended" by them. Rather exploited just short of losing me (and occasionally past that).
> HN is a forum cultivated to encourage free exchange of disruptive ideas. That is not possible under conditions of technofascism.
HN is just a place for people to talk. The actions are where the checks are written, and that's YC. For YC the best bet is to keep playing ball and not endanger the money stream. Almost none of these companies are actively fighting what's going on now. They're trying to straddle the line between playing ball with the power while looking moral about it.
For the country of free speech, to have not even noticed a threat to a media company? How is America in a position to say anything to anyone?
How long time will it be before they are pressured to censor or change articles?
Will they even have the power to move?
Bro, do you even know who Paul Graham is? He'll do anything to satisfy those turds and then write a blog post about how being kind to others is destroying the world.
Also, and this is a big also, he defended Elon buying Twitter for free speech. So I'd say his grasp of what should actually constitute free speech (the topic in this article) is a bit muddled at the moment
I couldn’t get anyone to pay attention to content moderation if I tried. Only after misinfo and false hoods became the fuel of politics, did the filters and janitors become an issue.
“Content moderation is allowed to work as long as they dont touch the wires that carry political power”
This was the message when the Stanford internet observatory got targeted.
> Even if you don’t like the people being threatened and chilled right now, it will be you eventually."
Maybe you should give yourself your own advice. You seemingly stood by doing nothing and even still think you're in a position make fun of people campaigning for free speech protections on social media (especially considering the fact that the government was indeed involved in censoring speech on these platforms). You literally already had the chance to stand up for people being threatened and chilled and not only actively chose not to, you stood in opposition to those people because you deemed it not "real" enough for you. You are not above anyone else nor are you in a position to lecture anyone else on this topic, ever.
You may be a troll or so lost in politics that nothing reaches you anymore. But if you’re actually an American who cares about the bill of rights, the time to stand up has already arrived. It’s going to be hard for you to do so if you’re busy telling people “well, the government using police to target opponents is bad, but here’s this other thing that manifestly isn’t as bad and I am going to dismiss the former and dwell on the latter.”
Given you have now proven you have no interest in standing up for other people's free speech until it's you being threatened you will unfortunately find it hard to convince anyone. Even now you have no ability to admit you were wrong in the past to cheer other people's free speech rights being taken away. What a disappointment.
People worrying about free speech before (and now in the UK) are ignored, called hysterical etc ... yet the minute someone is worried about Orange Man it's legitimate worry and you are hypocritical if you feel schadenfreude a bit.
Denialism is a real poison. Sided worryists/denialists are the real problem.
I'm not sure how to call them out without engaging in the same games they play themselves.
There are groups doing great work though, like the FSU in the UK.
1. Free speech in the public sphere includes the right of people offended by your speech to express that they are offended (to speak back). People like Toby Young (founder of the FSU), and those who decry "cancel culture" do not like this, but it is part of what constitutes genuine free expression.
2. Free speech against the government, which the government should not be allowed to punish people for, to enable a pluralistic and democratic society. E.g. someone like Mahmoud Khalil who was recently arrested for his political views on Palestine (in violation of both the principles of free speech and his rights as a green card holder).
People angry about #1 (arguing) tend to conflate it with #2 (genuine censorship), and accuse people who accuse those approximately equal (or less) in power than them as equivalent to draconian speech-controllers. People angry about #2 are pointing out a genuine power imbalance, and the damage to democratic society.
Elon Musk embodies this perfectly: he argues in favor of free speech when people tell him his opinions are objectionable, but actively censors speech on Twitter that he doesn't like. In one situation, he simply wants people to receive his speech without speaking back, in another, he wants to stifle discussion.
Speech is not a unidirectional activity. In order for it to be valuable and protected, the act of speaking in public is the act of listening to criticisms of what you say.
The government also is not allowed to imprison you or threaten you for speech about another private party, for example.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/2000-people-arrested-na...
i mean, how much free it should be to be free speech, how far it can be 'limited' but still is free speech
I'm not defending for trump or elon musk, in case you want to know it
Arresting someone for a crime is obviously not a problem, and generally protestors commit all sorts of minor nuisance civil violations for which they get arrested, booked, and released — all of which must be done without regard to the content of the speech being exercised during the violation. Deploying federal officers to go hunt down specific individuals and then disappearing them across state lines and modifying their immigration status without due process is absolutely unequivocally in a totally different league.
Trump has specifically said he’s going after people for the content of their speech. This is illegal and is totally different from what happened under Biden.
You seem to be invoking the tired old trope of "both sides bad". But they're not. The government pardoning rioters and punishing law firms is not the same as individuals saying "you know what, fuck Roseanne Barr, I don't want to watch her show anymore."
You're tying yourself in knots to establish a false equivalence between the two. But it's clear as day that they're not.
What is it that you should do with, let's say, Nazis? Should the rest of society not make it clear that they consider them abhorrent?
What I've seen the last 15 years is both right and left aggressively hollowing out the centre. Views that would have been vaguely centre right in the Clinton era described as fascistic. Views that would have been faintly centre left treated as communist propaganda. And the contempt and hatred on both sides showed me that nobody despite their protestations would have any problem with their opponents being subjected to any kind of suppression if they had the power to do so...
Edit: to answer your question I do not have the solution but I believe better psychology and more respect for the other view point is certainly the starting point.
> Public Service Announcement: The Right to Free Speech means the government can't arrest you for what you say. It doesn't mean that anyone else has to listen to your bullshit, or host you while you share it. The 1st Amendment doesn't shield you from criticism or consequences. If you're yelled at, boycotted, have your show canceled, or get banned from an Internet community, your free speech rights aren't being violated. It's just that the people listening think you're an asshole, and they're showing you the door.
If we don't like someone, we don't need to support them right? If I'm right wing, and I don't like Taylor Swift's views on politics, I don't need to support her. More than that, there's nothing wrong with me telling my friends "guys, don't go to her concerts, she's a terrible person." This is fine! It is completely ok! Taylor Swift might be in dire financial straits because we don't give her our money, but that's the consequence of her sharing views that her fans don't.
Of course in an ideal world we separate the art from the artist etc, but we don't need to. It's part of our right to free speech to associate only with those we want to.
And certainly let's not try to set up a false equivalence between boycotting (or "cancelling") Swift with the Federal Government penalising lawyers for doing their jobs. Anyone entering a thread about Trump weaponising the government talking about "muh cancel culture did it first", that's a low quality contribution that only empowers Trump and his lackeys.
I'm saying you're mistaken.
Just because Trump justifies his terrible acts by pointing out to DEI, cancel culture or whatever, doesn't mean those things were wrong. You're thinking of an alternate history where there was no cancel culture and there would be no Trump, and therefore the people who cancelled anyone are responsible for Trump.
No. Trump voters are responsible for Trump. Trump is responsible for Trump. Someone who said "fuck Roseanne Barr, I'll never watch her show again" has 0 responsibility.
Come on man, be real. Stop it with the enlightened centrism.
But social networks are businesses too, right. They're beholden to advertisers, just like network TV. So what they allow is constrained by what advertisers will accept. And lastly, the network is beholden to its own users. If the users don't like being surrounded by Nazis, they'll leave.
Compare Twitter when it was bought to it now. On any metric it's much worse. Lower revenue, 10x lower valuation. It's a cesspit, but at least no right winger is censored right! That's something.
And even more depressing is how little fight there seems to be, and how spineless many are.
From politicians to big tech and just most people: They sit down quietly, hoping this will just blow over, or that someone else will take the fight so they don't have to.
Don't make it easy! Don't do their job for them! Don't self-censor. Make them show their cards! If not, by the time you're ready to fight, it might be too late to do anything.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/addr...
Maybe there's something true to the "bad times -> good people -> good times -> bad people -> bad times" cycle after all.
Funnily enough the author here is attempting revisionist history himself by claiming that his side's prior misdeeds were justified all along because of the overreaction of the opposing extreme once they came into power. Instead, i would argue that opposing extremists (the left author who appears to be a denialist for leftist problems, and also trumpers on the opposite extreme) are symbiotic, actually propping eachother up in the long term and indeed, contributing to the problem.
I think he anticipated this argument which is why he wrote this block of text like a "No really, we were justified censoring and discriminating against people all those years, look what happened see!" as if he wasn't part of the cause. Sorry, not buying such a weak argument.
Trump et al wouldn't be able to make such weak free speech arguments work either if their opposition hadn't been using their power for a decade to censor everyone they disagree with in a historic purity spiral. Free speech matters. Neither authoritarian left or authoritarian right are good stewards of it. This is not news. But the left handed trump this point on a silver platter.
For decades, we have delegates all this legal authority to the president with few real checks on the offices power.
Eventually a Trump/Musk would happen.
This falls apart if they're not the minority - i.e. you failed to deal with them while they were a minority. There were levers designed expressly to deal with things like this - impeachment, etc. - they weren't used because one side thought that it would play out in their favour. As they will probably learn, it plays out in nobodies favour.
But things would have to get much much worse (and they probably will) before US population in general steps down a notch from that pedestal of 'US is the greatest and most free country in the world yadayada' and admits that well, we've fucked up and how to make sure this won't happen again.
If there would still be a way to correct all this after his term/death eventually since he won't give up power easily, which I sincerely don't think will be the case anymore.
That's because you guys get the CNN 5min recap version of American politics and therefore you didn't see the discontent that's been brewing since the 00s when US was sufficiently annoyed with establishment types to elect a young(er than the typical federal political) black guy who ran on a platform of change.
The populists will continue to win elections until morale improves.
If we had two parties for the anti-abortion voters, the “come and take them” folks, et c, to vote for without throwing their votes away, things might look very different now. Trump’s this powerful because he exploited weaknesses in one of the two “tents” and captured the whole thing, it would have been far harder for him to get so far if there were another party palatable to the right.
Unfortunately, the two-party systems serves those two parties well, and also serves the rich better than a more multipolar system (it’s easier to deal with), so this is a flaw that we cannot practically fix.
The full text of the executive order is available here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/addr... and mentions removing access to a SCIF:
> The Office of Management and Budget shall identify all Government goods, property, material, and services, including Sensitive Compartmented Information Facilities, provided for the benefit of Perkins Coie. The heads of all agencies providing such material or services shall, to the extent permitted by law, expeditiously cease such provision.
It has also been publicly documented from court transcripts that contractors were making unauthorised queries but I don't believe it has ever been released who the contractors were or who they were targeting. Hopefully, if this is the reason for removing SCIF access the current government is able to make these documents public without redaction. Though, the whole thing could just be a conspiracy theory generated by people piecing together bits of random information.
Now we have over that AIs and probably a government openly willing to use that against you, but that was always a possibility all this time. The future is open, the records are forever. And what we did all this time? Just put in photos, videos and text what can be used against us under some future policy, and shared it with them.
There is a point where we deserve the consequences. And yes, even of this very message.
Inversely you can also have a government that collects everything and doesn’t wield it this way.
The two issues are not actually that intertwined.
No you can't. It's only a matter of time.
I’m saying it has approximately nothing to do with the actual issues we face today.
I.e. it’s just as relevant for me to say “this is why you don’t give governments firearms! An authoritarian one will turn around and shoot its own people!”
Like yeah, sure it seems likely. Relevant to today? Would today’s conditions have been averted if we had never armed the government? No.
Is it dangerous for the government to collect everything on the internet? Yes! Is there any evidence that capability and “habit” is actually contributing to the chilling effects described in the article? Nope!
As seen in GP’s comment, tech world’s fixation on high-tech super surveillance distracts from the how authoritarian regimes actually tend to exert control over their population. Like, in reality versus in science fiction (again, not that surveillance is good or neutral on this topic, but that it is not at all necessary).
I literally quoted you and said the quoted statement was straight up wrong.
Then we’re in agreement.
The way we structure our government needs to be architected on a longer timeline than "the current crisis".
And BTW that's one hell of an edit on the prior comment and the whole schtick about rubber hoses vs technology misses the point about technology being a force multiplier which has huge implications for political will. The fact that the NSA can read everyone's emails cheaper than the Stasi can read everyone's literal mail just means the expenditure is smaller awareness is smaller and the endeavor costs less political capital. Dangerous things (like reading everyone's email) need to be expensive.
How much airtime do we want to give that topic on this here thread about current distortion of our democracy through totally distinct mechanisms?
Not sure who you're arguing against on the propriety or danger of NSA's capability, but it ain't me.
I’ll give an example to illustrate how this defeats the point of the submission.
Submission “we’re seeing chilling effects because students dont want to take the risk of having a record of discussion about government.”
Comment: “We’ve known things are getting worse, and this technology in the wrong hands would be harmful, we should have done something 10 years ago”
Here we can substitute anything from the invention of letters to computers to AI, as the technology in question.
> Public employees are illegally
> purged if they are viewed as
> disloyal to the new regime.
My understanding of how the U.S. government works is that the President functions as the CEO of all federal employees.
Is this all about Schedule F executive order which was rescinded by President Joe Biden on January 22, 2021?
I want to have an intellectually honest discussion about this:
- Why are these firings considered illegal? What is the legal argument?
- Why do we believe the President cannot hire or fire federal workers at will? What legal precedent or framework governs this?
If our system is designed in a way that allows the above and we dont like it, shouldn’t we work to fix it? After all, Congress—specifically the House—is the only branch with the power to write laws.
So if you don’t agree with Executive Order XYZ, let’s propose a law to address and fix it.
Would love to hear thoughtful perspectives on this.
There's a lot here and you should really take the time to learn about it for yourself than relying on random Internet comments to summarize, but in short:
- Federal employees in general have protections about being fired without process
- Most of the employees being fired are probationary employees who lack such protection. Note how the term is always "fired" not "laid off". There's a reason for that, these people are being fired "for cause", being told their performance is not up to par to avoid the beurocratic overhead of a structed layoff. Misusing for cause termination like this is not even legal for a private employer to do.
- Congress controls spending, and the Executive is generally obligated to spend the funds Congress has allocated for the purposes they allocated them (see also: Impoundment). Attempting to shut down agencies Congress has setup by firing everyone is generally runs contra to this idea.
- some agencies are setup specifically as independent agencies by Congress. Their heads can generally only be removed either by Congress, or by the President for some form of malfeasance. This sort of makes sense when you think about it. A agency responsible for protecting whistle blowers isn't much good if the president is just going to replace the head until he gets someone who won't protect the ones whistleblowing his malfeasance.
> My understanding of how the U.S. government works is that the President functions as the CEO of all federal employees.
This isn't correct. In a private company the CEO has tons of rule make power. The board doesn't generally set the rules directly instead controlling them by putting the right officers like the CEO in place. In the government however the primary rulemaking power rests with Congress. The Executive branch is doesn't have much (or isn't supposed to, this has been slipping for a long, long time) outside what is delegated by Congress. The Executive is simply charged with executing those laws and directives of the Legislative.
- Schedule F employees can be fired without due process.
- Additionally, 5 U.S.C. § 7513 allows for the removal of employees if it promotes the efficiency of the service (basically layoffs - and that is what Trump is doing).
- probation employees can be fired
In short no federal employee is fired unlawfully. But if Im wrong there have to be an example and courts can easily intervene (and they did in some other cases).
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/5/7513
They are explicitly not following 5 U.S.C. § 7513, they are trying to do and end run around the requirements (e.x. 30 day notice, opportunity to respond), which you can read in plain English at that link, by firing all probationary employees "for poor performance". Which is why as you note some courts are intervening.
The rest of your points are similarly "a lot of words but little truth"
The role of the judges is not to contain the President. It's exactly this idea where each department think that it's their role to stop the President which has lost them their job. You cannot operate a government successfully where large parts of it are actively trying to sabotage you.
What President Trump is trying to achieve is to take politics out of the permanent unelected state. Additionally, at the same time he is trying to find cost savings, because US debt is out of control [1]. The UK [2] and many other Countries are in the same boat. US spending on national debt is about $1 trillion a year [3], and it raises about $4.4 billion a year in revenue [4]. This is okay, as long as the US maintains growth [5]. Encase it wasn't obvious by now, we are scheduled for a massive economic downturn, and it is extremely prudent to reduce spending so that the US can still afford interest payments.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_of_the_United_St...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UK_Debt_as_percentage_of_...
[3] https://www.pgpf.org/article/what-is-the-national-debt-costi...
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget#/...
[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_States
The role of judges is to maintain the rule of law under the constitution. If the president is outside that, the role of judges is to contain the president, just as it is their role to contain anyone else who is outside it.
But based on his current trajectory, hell continue his pennywise strategy and just like last time, will raise the debt more than his predecessor.
Another thing to remind ourselves of is that we don't want politicians to make decisions purely from market reactions to policy.
I'd say I'm hopeful that things will change now that the shoe is on both feet but I don't have that much faith.
Edit: Since apparently this needs to be explained to some people, nobody is feeling like they can't talk about random boring advertiser friendly interests. People are feeling like they can't talk freely about the kinds of political and social issues that tend to get talked about when you get a bunch of people of a particular bent in one place.
And also, as with so many things trump, he's taking the rhetoric and threats to another planet. There was not a huge list of banned words and books, or keyword-based government purges of content previously. There was no threat of punishment for attorneys representing the "wrong" side in a case. There were no blanket threats of imprisonment or deportation for "illegal protests".
The rhetoric and actions being taken by trump/musk in this regard are FAR, FAR beyond anything we've seen here before at least going back to the red scare.
This executive power was built up over decades by the establishment on both sides of the isle in bits and pieces (to be clear, I'm not alleging some conspiracy here, just that this is the result of natural incentives in an expanding government) and now it's being wielded by an outsider populist and this is what happens. Nobody should be surprised by this. When we elected a Lite(TM) populist on a platform of change in '08 and nothing changed this outcome was basically destined.
The fact that the populists we ultimately elected are "simple" billionares who have grand delusions of making the country wealthy through deregulation, short sighted geopolitics and fiscal conservatism is just good luck. We could have done, way, way, way worse. And if these guys don't cause some sort of change in the country's course (for better or worse, probably doesn't matter) we probably will elect another even more extreme one.
This is the only thing I'm really trying to correct here. The author is complaining because of the extreme extent to which it is being applied. Not just that it's coming more generally in his direction now. His initial example happens to be a personal one, but the long bulleted list of other examples he supplies does not appear to be personal to him.
It's not a "wow now that this is happening to me I'm going to start caring" it's a "wow this is happening to huge swaths of people in ways that are much more extreme than I've seen in the past"
People on fishing BBs getting attacked and punished for posting about fishing?
Dude, get a brain scan now. You might have a RFKJr brain worm.
By "talk freely", do you mean racism, sexism, etc.? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradox_of_tolerance
I complained about it quite bitterly for about a decade, even after I had resolved it on my own without their help.
This post reminds me of that time of my life. He's not wrong and yet he may look back on this time like I have on my life and think heh, is that really what I spent my time doing? The life I could've been living instead. The life I can be living right now, today and tomorrow :)