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Comment by rayiner | Hacker News Reader

Note that he’s only Prime Minister temporarily. He’s replacing Trudeau and will call elections soon (must be before October) and will go up against Poilievre.

EDIT: Didn’t mean to suggest he won’t win the election. But he’ll have to defend the seat.

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Potentially temporarily - the tariffs and 51st state rhetoric has really shifted the polling there from an easy conservative win to a liberal resurgence

That's not really accurate. What we have is one unhinged far left polster (ekos) doing very questionable thing to skew the average and some weirdness out of ipsos occasionally. You can see many of the individual polls here: https://338canada.com/polls.htm I'm not going to bother posting the deleted twitter rants from the guy that runs ekos, but he's ruining his reputation right now because nobody will believe him after this. Carney got the new guy bump and now that people are getting to know him the polls look uglier for him each week because he's one of the architects of the policies that are so unpopular.

Every poll shows a massive liberal resurgence. Only a few suggest that they're currently in the lead.

Yes, I provided you a list of the vast majority of polling that has happened going all the way back to 2021. There was even a nice graph that does show the resurgence you are talking about but also mostly shows it's not anywhere near enough to change the result from conservative majority, pretty much except for ekos polling (there are some other shenanigans going on in here but they are kind of minor compared to the bold face lying with statistics ekos is almost certainly doing). This is the new guy bump to largely unknown Carney from terrible trudeau. Carney is getting known now and getting linked to all the same stupid things that pissed people off about trudeau and you will see his poll results slide every week here as that process happens. It's not going to help him that he is going to get absolutely crushed in the english debate and absolutely crushed without realizing it because his french is terrible in the french debate either.

We need to just deal with some squirrels in the pack looking for nuts, but I think Poilievre if he wins will fix the West Coast problems tuque-svet

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