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Comment by danielhep | Hacker News Reader

I’m not sure such a prediction is valid in a world post Pax Americana.

That post pax world isn't inbound anytime soon, despite the irrational hysteria going on right now. Trump has 3.x years remaining. People are acting like he's going to remain for decades. There is no next Trump, he has a unique hold over the MAGA base that was key to his election.

For now post Pax America is merely a fantasy that reveals a lot about the people that think it's happening now (they're showing their personal preference). The same things were said due to Trump's first term also. Instead the US got more powerful and far richer in the time since then.

Back in reality, the 1860s, 1930s and 1970s were worse for the US than anything going on now. The 1930s were drastically worse. The US as superpower has survived far worse than Trump and it'll do it again.

Trump will go away at some point (hopefully he does not seek a 3rd term). However, i am concerned about the fact that the GOP has been mired in the MAGA culture for a decade now, and what that does to the people seeking membership and the people being promoted to leadership. When Trump leaves, the people which have been promoted and been successful in GOP under him still stays. For what virtues are you being promoted for in the GOP? The entire structure is corrupted.

There is no next Trump, there will be a next Putin. America will be poor. You cannot rule out it will be in expansion wars.

It is not about MAGA, they were a tool, they are not critical anymore. You are looking at a new fascist rule, with complete state capture. It is not completely done yet, and there is still a change the coup will fail. But people are complying out of fear, the military leadership has been purged and cleansing is still going on everywhere. So the window of opportunity is closing.

Do not focus on Trump. He is a Chaos Actor and he will be disposed of when he can't deliver of is not needed anymore.

  >  post Pax America is merely a fantasy

I recommend reading the news, preferably outside of the USA.

  > they're showing their personal preference

This is an example of a binary belief trap.

I mean it was all laid out in front of everyone...

https://www.project2025.observer

If I were to bet between Dems being able to return in 2028, or the entire MAGAified (and DOGEified) system being rigged to put Vance (or some other couchfucker) there, I'd bet the latter.

Is voter disfranchisement a thing? Will the US have more of it? Will the "activist judges" brought in by the MAGA party let it happen? All of the above?

He has already screamed bloody murder about an election not going his way, and recent Supreme Court decisions about basic stuff (i.e. the government must honor its contractual obligations) have been 5-4.

All it will take is one more SC justice and we'll be in a full blown crisis. Yes, Trump isn't the worst president we've ever had - but he's kind of unique in that he clearly doesn't give a damn about the rule of law or the Republic as a government.

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