Survivorship bias would be a good explanation for Musk's success, if he succeeded at one thing. But it doesn't explain having a string of successes.
What he's had is an army of internet bots pumping up his supposed credentials (visible even in the voting patterns here on YN)
In every instance, a lot of other people did all the work. Musk provided funds, which a machine could do.
And, he did fail. A lot. But the more money you have, the more you can fail.