I don't think its useful or even interesting to talk about AI in relation to how humans think, or whether or not they will be "conscious" whatever that might mean.

AIs are not going to be like humans because they will have perfect recall of a massive database of facts, and be able to do math well beyond any human brain.

The interesting question to me is, when will we be able to give AI very large tasks, and when will it to be able to break the tasks down into smaller and smaller tasks and complete them.

When will it be able to set its own goals, and know when it has achieved them?

When will it be able to recognize that it doesn't know something and do the work to fill in the blanks.

I get the impression that LLMs don't really know what they are saying at the moment, so don't have any way to test what they are saying is true or not.