> We have no reason to believe that it is not reasoning.
We absolutely do: it's a computer, executing code, to predict tokens, based on a data set. Computers don't "reason" the same way they don't "do math". We know computers can't do math because, well, they can't sometimes[0].
> Since it looks like reasoning, the default position to be disproved is this is reasoning.
Strongly disagree. Since it's a computer program, the default position to be disproved is that it's a computer program.
Fundamentally these types of arguments are less about LLMs and more about whether you believe humans are mere next-token-prediction machines, which is a pointless debate because nothing is provable.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pentium_FDIV_bug