Hacker News Reader

Comment by theossuary | Hacker News Reader

The likelihood of Trump sending troops across the border is pretty low right now. The chance of Trump trying to destroy Canada economically with America's weight is relatively high.

Please continue to disentangle Canada's economics from the US; it's much more likely your kids starve then are shot.

View on HN

The odds might be low, but they are substantially larger than zero. Most people I know are preparing in some way by offshoring what money they have, researching places of refuge, etc.

The path to violence is: * imposition of punitive tariffs by Trump * Retaliation which escalates to energy export tariffs. * At some point Canada shuts off electricity transfer to the US and restricts water transfer, which shuts down the eastern seaboard. Trump declares this an act of war.

> At some point Canada shuts off electricity transfer to the US and restricts water transfer

This is what won't happen. People are far, far too comfortable for that, you'd need to see 30%+ unemployment rates for that to change.

I'll be delighted to be wrong. It's a low-probability, high impact event, but America has elected a Mad King, and many of us are preparing.

US doesn't need to invade Canada in response to tariffs etc. Given the relative sizes of the economies and their interdependency, it's much, much easier for US to hurt Canada than for Canada to hurt US economically.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com