By the end of today, NASA's workforce will be about 10 percent smaller
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
From what I've heard, the problem at NASA is it has a lot of lifers who justify their positions through bureaucracy.
This reduction gets rid of the people at NASA who actually get stuff done. People who get stuff done can easily find jobs in industry, so are more likely to accept buyouts. It also gets rid of the young probationary employees who are still idealistic and have not yet been corrupted by the system.
Edit: I didn't see the bit about probation. I think that's probably because you have to start with people on probation if you're making people redundant, right?
Political appointees require 30 days notice, rank-and-file must be given cause.
Same thing with the Intelligence Community: lots of DMV-like cogs that have TS clearances but otherwise are little different than the masses occupying the Social Security office down the street.
> It also gets rid of the young probationary employees who are still idealistic
So you're saying there's suddenly a bunch of space engineers on the market looking to accept whatever terms some space contractor offers them? I wonder which space contractors already have a list with their names and personnel information...
Timing is coincidental, of course.
A strike by NASA employees would hurt NASA employees far more than it would anyone else. I'm sure Elon and the prez would love a walkout by said employees.
Congress, not unions, should be the guardian of civil servant rights. But of course, public service unions are the largest donors to Congress, which then drives the narrative of a corrupt and bloated civil service.
I mean, I don't have stats in front of me but how could possibly public service unions compete with the largest companies in the world?
Software development is one of the best studied areas for what productivity is, and the thing that everyone agrees is that there are no good metrics for it. For all sorts of jobs above "tier 1 customer service (which can be measured in calls per hour)" it gets really hard to measure, and even that is very open to gaming in ways that lead to bad outcomes- e.g. the entire history of Goodhart's Law.
This was realized by everyone 150 years ago, which is why they created civil service protections to begin with. You need a better solution to that problem, otherwise you are just repeating the mistakes of the 1870s. I'm prepared to believe that there is a better idea out there. But just going back to the 1870s, with all of its problems, for sure ain't it.
Who wants to give up a fed pension for a 401k?!
I would think so. Promoting someone implies they are exceeding expectations in their current role[1].
1. I do acknowledge that in any large organization some people end up promoted despite not meeting the requirements of the job. I'll leave it to the reader to decide where that kind of promotion style might be at play currently.
When you see someone seemingly contradicting their stated goals, ask yourself if perhaps they have different, unstated, goals.
This was something people overlooked about the CDC layoffs: those, likewise, targeted people who were administratively easy to fire, which in that case was highly skilled experts hired under an exceptional federal employment statute ("Title 42"), which allowed them far higher salaries than other public service workers—but without the standard protections.
- "EIS officers are hired under Title 42, a mechanism that allows the federal government to bring in the best and the brightest, in some cases paying them at rates higher than the typical public sector wages. It offers workers fewer job protections, however, making Title 42 workers easier to fire."
https://www.statnews.com/2025/02/14/trump-cdc-cuts-include-e...
It's what DOGE is doing: becoming inured to risky actions.
Not every job in the world works well with 'Move fast, and break things' philosophy.
Doing things quickly isn't even a goal for NASA. Doing things right is.
Why do people keep saying every thing either needs to be as chaotic as a dorm room start up or cease to exist?
No biggie... the effects won't be seen until a Democrat is in charge again, business as usual.
Edit: I understand that The Space Shuttle Decision by T. A. Heppenheimer [2] contains a lot of the information that's in the Metafilter post, but in a more sober tone. The PDF is available direct from NASA [2]. It does at least mention that NASA itself wanted to cancel the shuttle program.
[1] https://www.metafilter.com/48654/Jan-28-1986#1189388
[2] https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/sp-4221.pdf
The explicit reason for this was that parts of the space shuttle were built in 50 states, and the “economic stimulus” trumped things like science or national security.
Yes[1].
You're talking about the how of the space shuttle construction but not the why. It was indeed intended for at least some military use, and it was originally intended to be capable of polar orbits and would've launched from Vandenberg.
Of course there was major government pork and horse trading to southern states but this was a side effect of the project, not the primary driver.
[1] https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/1398/did-the-space...
A: I am not convinced GOOD science and GOOD engineering means a quick turn around. So in my opinion having less quantity for higher quality output is efficient.
B: While there are many missions and projects at NASA it seems a bit unfair to judge their workings when they seem to have major changes in direction every 4-8 years mandated upon them.
Mandated by Congress.
For example, NASA's original space plane was a much better design that the shuttle, but they were forced to make it a joint project with the Air Force to get budget. The different requirements added up, and eventually we got the system we've all seen.
To prevent that, organisations introduce policies, processes, and review committees to keep things running smoothly.
It’s always possible to cut back bureaucracy, but it’s a constant balancing act between efficiency and security.
This reliance on the profit motive to enforce a Darwinian culling of private enterprises is a spherical cow.
Absolutely. Large organizations tend towards self-preservative activities in the long run. One such thing is rent-seeking and regulatory capture (i.e. getting laws passed that entrench and defend your business from disruption).
It also seems that a lot of forces in the economy tend to favor mergers and centralization, which protects businesses from disruption and further entrenches their positions. Eventually the profit dictates that they'll raise prices to cover their inefficiencies and it's ultimately consumers that lose, because they can't exit the system and competition is dead.
Tech companies are not efficient. As long as they make gobs of money, they don't have to be.
Wait till you hear the supposed 'top talent' they hire doesn't perform any better than most normal people you would meet at any company.
Im guessing when you are rich, you tend to use that as a justification to do whatever you want.
Start ups succeed despite chaos, not because of chaos. Its crazy how brakes are now being confused for accelerators.
You’ll find that, if being in person corrects one grant approval /rejection mistake, the trip saves >>> 100x what it costs.
Also, typical grant processes like that involve months of prep work for each person, and they certainly made all the easy decisions before meeting in person.
So, the day or so they spent on discussions was to reconcile disagreements and misunderstandings with high monetary stakes.
Starship is a very different scenario; SpaceX fully intends for it to serve their own purposes as well.
Next time there's a tender, how will the NASA employee know whether their decision wrt SpaceX is going to get them fired or not?
(im not saying elon is good here)
Elon does.
Also, these career employees rose through the ranks based on job performance, and did so regardless of which political party was in charge.
> Elon does.
note the "not defending elon" bit.
> these career employees rose through the ranks based on job performance,
2. thats laughable (i have a direct relative who works for the federal government and based on their commentary thats a crazy thing to believe)
Because a civil servant being promoted to be "in control" merely means that they become the first contact the political administrators give their orders/roadmap to, and their role is to execute on that roadmap. They don't get to decide the agency budget or goals, and they're the one who get fired when they're in conflict with elected officials or their representatives, or if issues with the administration come up.
Also for public mindshare. Which translates into funding. Congress likes to fund popular stuff because it helps them get re-elected. They do not like to fund unpopular stuff.
NASA has essentially 0 in-house manufacturing nowdays. Separate question whether that's a good thing, but that's not something the current NASA headcount is doing.
If anything, slowing down NASA slows down launch cadence which hurts SpaceX.
Sounds like it is easier to cut out the middleman, eventually? (Only half-joking)
In general, I agree that a thorough house-cleaning of NASA would be great for technical achievement, but this is one of the stupidest ways you could do it.
Unfortunately it's business as usual for the X-style organization reform model. (Not that Musk was the first to do this, of course.)
Hard disagree on that one. Businesses calculate risk exposure and feign concern when forced (if ever) to pay fines after a lengthy legal battle in which the government goes up against extremely well-paid private lawyers that are financed from the profits of illegal activity. Compliance with the law is just a cost at this point.
And flippin' nobody goes to jail for white collar crime anymore.
Do you want to spend the rest of your afternoon reading about cases where businesses didn't get punished for not running according to the law? Even in the cases where they are punished, it's often well within the cost of doing business.
> Sometimes that doesn't happen with the govt
For example: right now. We have a buddy of the President deciding to lay off thousands of employees without any respect for the legal procedures for doing so.
Many of the largest businesses nowadays are run in the most immoral, cutthroat and corrupt way possible with armies of lawyers who’s job is to stall the process and find loop holes in the existing laws so they can keep operating with impunity.
Absolutely, and that's just in a well-functioning justice system. Run that cycle through a few times, and the government finally realizes that fighting losing battles in court is a waste of money, and gets extremely conservative about who they do choose to prosecute, opting only to prosecute when they are sure of a quick and decisive convinction--that further entrenches powerful players who are effectively immune from prosecution just because the government balks at the effort.
In a corrupt system, it gets even worse; businesses pay off government officials directly or indirectly, businesses hire lobbyists to write legislation that entrenches their positions, protects them from competition, and worse, actively stifles competition.
Every system tends toward corruption, regardless of the -ism, and regardless if it is privately or publicly run. The antidote is accountability. Unfortunately the American system has fallen into such bitter polarization that no political leaders are ever held accountable. So we get corruption, and it's compounding massively now.
What a coincidence, and a totally unexpected outcome from these cuts to "save taxpayer money".
Ultimately the goal is privatization. Ask the British how privatizing their rail network has worked out for the average citizen.
"Are cuts needed?
It is also clear that, as within other federal agencies, there is significant "bloat" in NASA's budget. In some areas, this is plain to see, with the space agency having spent in excess of $3 billion a year over the last decade "developing" a heavy lift rocket, the Space Launch System, which used components from the Space Shuttle and costs an extraordinary amount of money to fly. In the meantime, the private launch industry has been running circles around NASA. Similarly, consider the Orion spacecraft. This program is now two decades old, at a cost of $1 billion a year, and the vehicle has never flown humans into space.
One could go on. Much of the space community has been puzzled as to why NASA has been spending on the order of half a billion dollars to develop a Lunar Gateway in an odd orbit around the Moon. It remains years away from launching, and if it ever does fly, it would increase the energy needed to reach the surface of the Moon. The reason, according to multiple sources at the agency when the Gateway was conceived, is that the lunar space station would offer jobs to the current flight controllers operating the International Space Station, which is due to retire in 2030."
Starship has flown 7 times for roughly $5 billion. The expected cost per launch of the final system is expected to be roughly $10 million.
I don't agree this is as cut and dry as you're laying out.
Both have been in development for roughly the same time (12-13 years). SLS already went around the moon, while Starship hasn't reached orbit. Starship is WAY behind schedule.
https://www.planetary.org/articles/20170515-anatomy-of-delay...
I'm also surprised you're willing and able to wave a 50x difference in cost. Sure, SpaceX is still in a bit of a riskier position, having developed all new hardware. But with what we've seen today, are you really claiming that companies are going to be lining up to pay $2 billion for the privilege of riding Boing? Or are you just betting that Starship won't fly?
Shame no one is going to consider cutting those wasteful contracts.
OTOH, I have never seen a tiny bit of tangible benefit from consultancies getting paychecks from NASA to make presentations about equity and environmental justice, which was a big push from our national space agency until very recently.
It is also the lobbyist that push bloat to make more money.
[0] https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/chasing-new-horizons-alan-s...
No one is puzzled. Everyone knows why, Congress mandated it.
The President appoints NASA's administrator (subject to Senate approval, of course) and Congress controls NASA's budget. How anyone is puzzled by NASA's focus is beyond me. If I'm being pessimistic, I would assume such people are woefully ignorant of how NASA (and maybe the government as a whole) works. I try to be pessimistic instead of cynical because if I were cynical then I would assume a bunch of negative ulterior motives.
"The Administrator shall ensure that NASA carries out a balanced set of programs that shall include, at a minimum, programs in— ... (A) human space flight, in accordance with subsection (b); ... The Administrator shall establish a pro- gram to develop a sustained human presence on the Moon, including a robust precursor program, to promote exploration, science, commerce, and United States preeminence in space, and as a stepping-stone to future exploration of Mars and other destinations. The Administrator is further authorized to develop and conduct appropriate international collaborations in pursuit of these goals."
Artemis grew out of these efforts and enjoyed fairly bipartisan support over the years (including by President Trump in his first term, see [1]).
[0] https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/PLAW-109publ155/pdf/PLAW...
[1] https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/new-space-policy-directive...
The SLS is an incredibly expensive boondoggle, a result of pork barrel politics, and so on, but it hasn't caused a massive spike in headcount at NASA proportional to its cost. There are some managers at NASA dealing with it, and if it goes away, they'll deal with something else. The big headcount with SLS is in the private sector, at the contractors.
NASA has pushed back on some of this stupid shit to the fullest extent it can, given the political reality that it has to make whatever congress funds. Maybe you regard DOGE as a potential remedy to that, but firing a bunch of people is orthogonal to that effort.
I don't see it that way, but again, to a large extent they're hamstrung by the stupid shit they are required to do by congress. The same agency that has to somehow shepherd the SLS or keep the ISS running alongside the Russians, all just ridiculous political stuff, also ought to get credit for making incredible probes and landers and running the missions that let them do real exploration and scientific study. When NASA gets to do what it's really meant to do, it excels.
"The key is ensuring that any future cuts at NASA are not indiscriminate. If and when Jared Isaacman is confirmed by the US Senate as the next NASA administrator, it will be up to him and his team to make the programmatic decisions about which parts of the agency are carrying their weight and which are being carried, which investments carry NASA into the future, and which ones drag it into the past. If these future cuts are smart and position NASA for the future, this could all be worth it. If not, then the beloved agency that dares to explore may never recover."
What are they even on?
That is definitely _not_ what is happening here.
Also, if NASA were forced to drop SLS, that would make it reliant on Falcon Heavy, which coincidentally is made by the person in charge of cutting NASA's budget.
The gateway’s odd orbit makes complete sense. It lets you move cargo to and from the moon’s gravity well without paying to move the rocket fuel and propellant out of the gravity well. This should be obvious to anyone that understood introductory physics and calculus. Have those been lumped in with “controversial theories” like global warming now?
Also, let’s look at how realistic the alternative plan is:
Trump and Elon plan to have a person on mars by the end of this administration. The transit time is 2 years, so they need to launch in the next 21 months.
So right after FSD and Tesla robo-taxis?
Explain.
https://apnews.com/article/trump-musk-doge-republicans-mike-...
Things like the SLS exist because of Congress critters on both sides of the aisle keep propping it up, no matter how much NASA doesn't want it. SLS isn't some NASA pet-project.
This isn’t the game they want to think it is, as some folks are starting to realize. And others have been yelling about for years.
[0] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Alabama_House_of_Represen...
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/12/trump-universities-...
The culling of "probationary" employees will be more impactful. As it has done at other federal agencies, the Trump administration is generally firing federal employees who are in the "probationary" period of their employment, which includes new hires within the last one or two years or long-time employees who have moved into or been promoted into a new position. About 1,000 or slightly more employees at NASA were impacted by these cuts.
Just in case anyone thinks this could tighten up performance, the layoffs are being targeted at the most mobile and the best.
Among other things, that gets rid of stuff that’s dominated by low performers.
Firing only the people that can find another job or that were recently hired does the opposite, which is why this is both illegal and unprecedentedly stupid.
They can't legally do what they're doing now, they are just counting on the fact that it's very difficult for probationary employees to appeal the illegal firings. Probationary employees can be terminated for performance, but the government legally has to actually show how it concluded that the employee was underperforming. They are not doing this - they are firing people regardless of whether they had good or bad performance reviews or even if they weren't around long enough to have a performance review at all. However, probationary employees have very limited rights to appeal (they can only appeal to MSPB if they allege they were fired for partisan political reasons or for merit status) and Trump now controls MSPB anyway, so they are just counting on the employees not having a way to actually get legal redress even though the firings were illegal.
https://www.mspb.gov/appeals/infosheets/Probationary_Employe...
My guess is that they're doing that too, it just takes longer time.
I suspect we will also be hearing about the long time experts that are the only ones who maintain or know about certain systems being rehired desperately..
DOGE is frankly ruining the reputations of Silicon Valley and software engineers in a way I didn’t think possible.. they’re being very stupid about what they’re doing.
They are effectively a meat shield for Elon who is a meat shield for Trump who ignores the courts anyway.
However, historically, SV’s strength has been that startups fly under the radar of the east coast, so they can bypass the corruption holding the rest of the country back.
I hope this is one of those times, because every time I check the news, another democratic or capitalist institution has been gutted or defected.
also NASA definitely does collaborative work with other agencies, including the CIA
But hey, Musk gets to keep eliminating everyone who might exercise oversight on his companies or business activities, so it's all good right?
They are at $8 Million a day from governement I think I read?
So privatize the profits, socialize the costs?
Is this still happening or are they going to write off everything now not exclusively white men as ZOMG DEI
I guarantee you the vast majority of them support DEI programs too.
This is an absolutely insane way to do things.
And the worst part is even if the courts finally rule this was an abuse of power weeks from now it may be too late, you can't undelete people like webpages (and then there is the matter if such rulings will be obeyed)