That’s what people said about outsourcing too. The corporate meat grinder keeps rolling forward anyway.
Every single department and person believes the world will stop turning without them but that’s rarely how that plays out.
Every single department and person believes the world will stop turning without them but that’s rarely how that plays out.
The core issue is that the bottleneck step in software development isn't actually the ability to program a specific thing, it's the process of discovering what it is we actually want the program to do. Having your programmers AT THE OFFICE and in close communication with the people who need the software, is the best way to get that done. Having them on the other side of the planet turned out to be the worse way.
This is unintuitive (to programmers as well as the organizations that might employ them), and therefore they have to discover it the hard way. I don't think this is something LLMs will be good at, now or ever. There may come a day when neural networks (or some other ML) will be able to do that, but that day is not near.
And they were right... and a lot of companies fully failed because of it.
And the corporate meat grinder kept rolling forward anyway. And the decision makers were all shielded from the consequences of their incompetence anyway.
When the market is completely corrupted, nothing means anything.