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I think you are being pedantic here and business decisions aren't made based on purely cost but brittleness, maintenance, time to market.

You are assuming you can match Gemini's performance, Google's engineering resources and costs being constant in to the future.

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>You are assuming you can match Gemini's performance

I'm not assuming. We already did, 18 months ago with better performance than the current generation of Gemini for our use case.

You're falling into the usual trap of thinking that because big tech spends big money it gets big results. It doesn't. To quote a friend who was a manager at google "If only I could get my team of 100 to be as productive as my first team of three.".

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