20k federal workers take "buyout" so far, official says
axios.com
axios.com
It would be an incredibly generous and nice buyout package, but obviously if it gets torn up after a month it's not that great of a deal.
Q: Am I expected to work at my government job during the deferred resignation period? A: No.
Q: Am I allowed to get a second job during the deferred resignation period? A: Absolutely! We encourage you to find a job in the private sector as soon as you would like to do so. The way to greater American prosperity is encouraging people to move from lower productivity jobs in the public sector to higher productivity jobs in the private sector.
Q: Will I really get my full pay and benefits during the entire period through September 30, even if I get a second job? A: Yes. You will also continue to accrue annual leave and sick leave during the deferred resignation period until you separate. You will be paid a lump sum for accrued but unused annual leave upon separation.
Q: Can I take an extended vacation while on administrative leave? A: You are most welcome to stay at home and relax or to travel to your dream destination. Whatever you would like.
Is there an explanation for this apparent discrepancy?
From https://www.opm.gov/fork/
That is what resigners agree to. There is no guarantee of leave and it is up to their agency, not OPM. The FAQ has previously contained information contradicting the OPM Fork letter so it's not surprising the two pages disagree still.
It's not a buyout because it is not a lump sum severance. The payout for annual leave is given to all departing feds (resigning or retiring or RIF'd), it is not unique to this offer.
https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/pay-leave/leave-ad...
OPM also says that admin leave authority rests with the agency, not them.
Best source for information on this since the FAQ disagrees with the memo and the contents of the letter.
> Yes. The decision to grant administrative leave, and for how long, lies largely within the agency’s discretion.
That's the official OPM guidance on this, where they're saying that you may have to work and that it is up to the agency and not OPM.
These workers will resign, and won't get paid what they were told they'd get paid.
This is a man who is so cheap, so petty, he held up billions of dollars worth of economic relief during COVID just so he could have his signature on a bunch of stimulus checks.
Correct.
> so the money to pay people to September is questionable if it exists at best
Incorrect.
The money is budgeted through September (end of federal FY). Things are currently only funded through March 15 (CRs and whatnot). The money is or will be there. Historically, even if there is a furlough, this money is backfilled and folks are paid. Note that there will probably be riots if lengthy furloughed folks don’t get back pay.
> So there's a very real chance at this deal offering something closer to ~1 month of pay before it suddenly gets dropped due to budget negotiations.
Correct.
The speculation is that:
1. The “resign” folks will be put on admin leave in March 1 (or earlier).
2. Budget impasse in mid-March. Furlough ensues.
3. Folks on admin leave just end up getting cut, or not paid, and/or not back paid due to peculiarities of admin leave.
> It would be an incredibly generous and nice buyout package, but obviously if it gets torn up after a month it's not that great of a deal.
I think it’s above average, but not “incredibly generous”. People get $25k VSIP and VERA offers all the time. This may not seem like a lot, but many fed employees live in low COL areas and/or earn relatively low wages.
The best parts of the package, assuming they deliver, would be things like insurance (for non-retirees) and possibly TSP contributions and matching (if those are allowed).
If they want the numbers they say that they want, I think something near this level of package is necessary.
It would be Trump/Elon.
Someone told me the details of how they could not pay people. It’s administrivia. It will go unnoticed by most just like how the twitter folks not getting paid went unnoticed by most.
> And who in a Republican Congress will want to do that anyway?
They give zero fucks about fucking over feds or former Feds, as they are (allegedly) all lazy and useless.
The end result will be less money spent (trivial, but still) and a lower head count moving forward.
The Republican rhetoric on this largely doesn’t jibe with reality.
Yes, there are underemployed people in the federal government (as exist in any large org). Identifying that slack and cutting it is not something that can be done with laser shots from space. They can only be done from the ground, imho. The current way they are doing things is going to end with a lot of unpleasant unintended consequences.
The idea in Project 2025 is mostly to take this to a whole new level and apply it to the majority of the federal government.
Amazingly, so far, it hasn't hurt his approval numbers.
For one, if they dip as low as they might given the expected economic hardship and the other cultural issues, you might start seeing rioting.
For another, I don't think it's a given this is Trump's final term. There already is a congressman trying to get in legislation to change the constitution to allow a third term. Even if that fails, the SCOTUS has already taken some egregious decisions in relation to Trump (full presidential immunity even for political assassinations) - what they might think they can get away with in the next four years is anyone's guess.
He started with (I think) the lowest approval numbers in modern records so to an extent it was probably priced in from the outset.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump...
You've gotta understand the dynamics of social media information warfare. Loyalty trumps any other considerations like factuality or consistency, people will denounce tomorrow what they championed today if need be. I've seen some pro posters who post contradictory responses to Trump or Musk statements and then just delete whichever one gets less positive engagement.
Non-American here with only a Mickey Mouse understanding of US mechanics of power.
I’m not an expert on this topic, so please take these comments with a grain of salt:
1. The simplest way a budget impasse could start is with internal feuding within the Republican Party. Some Republicans are very aggressive deficit hawks all the time. Some Republicans are only “deficit hawks” when a Democrat is president, but they spend freely when a Republican is president. Note that almost all of the largest budget deficits since 1990 have been under Republican administrations (Covid years under Trump and Biden were wonky and should probably be asterisked). So the pork-seeking Republicans and the deficit hawk Republicans can get into a stand off about what the budget should be.
2. Even if Congress is on the same page, Trump can choose not to sign the budget if he doesn’t get his pet issues addressed. This may seem like something that they should be able to work out beforehand, but his “priorities” change, sometimes daily, often based on who he happened to have spoken to last.
3. Some republicans want the government to break. The playbook here is to break the system in some way, point out that the system doesn’t work, and then make attempts to privatize that system or massively overhaul that system (likely with massive cuts of workers and largesse to contractors). It may seem odd that an elected official strives to make the government not work, but they are able to make that tack work for them at the polls. I think that this is a deep (and warped) issue that is hard for me to explain well.
The current House has an even smaller majority of 2 currently, so it's now infinitely more possible for a deadlock to happen.
2 are nearly guaranteed to break because we have a couple of republicans that always vote no on budget bills because they want massive cuts to everything.
That means either the bill ends up completely destroying federal funding, which risks losing centrist republicans or republicans in tight district races. Or the bill ends up trying to win over a few democrats in similarly contested districts, which risks losing a fair bit of republicans that reject any bills that have democrat votes.
That is what Trump is doing via DOGE so the burn-it-down camp seems pretty well served, more than anytime since the post-war demobilization anyway. The impasse, if it occurs, is more likely to be with those in Congress that don’t want to reduce the size of government.
DOGE acts different. It seems to me DOGE is about crashing the US economy and/or world economy to attempt wild and radical Silicon Valley theories about alternate societies. As such, its actions are inclined to ruin the fortunes and the business of the free marketeer camp, because those folks are functioning in the real world and have businesses, employees, and pay those employees in dollars.
So I don't think the 'burn-it-down' camp should favor DOGE. It is in no way their ally and is there to ruin them, in order to rebuild a society upon somebody else and leave 'em ruined. It's pretty plain to see DOGE's opinion of those people based on its attitude to H1B visas, for instance.
I see absolutely no evidence that the DOGE crowd wants to crash the economy and while they do have a utopian ideology so does the left.
Additionally, the DOGE crowd would say they’re trying to dismantle an unaccountable deep state conspiracy that threatens the American economy through an accelerating accumulation of government debt and regulations and has been trying to transform society globally for decades through political, social, economic, and military intervention all to serve the progressive elites.
I think both of your views are lacking in charity and perspective, although the DOGE view in so far as I’ve accurately described it has vastly more evidence backing it up.
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-polit...
The quote is “markets will tumble” by which he clarifies that it will be a temporary market overreaction not “crash the economy” like it’s 1929. Those are qualitatively different things.
And not only that but a lot of the spending we engage is a mixture of minimally beneficial and/or outright corrupt. For instance at one point the Air Force was paying $10,000 for toilet seats. It's only after that received extensive publicity that they swapped over to simply 3D printing the seats, probably for a few bucks per seat. [1] There's about a 99.999% chance that the supplier for those $10,000 toilet seats had a rather low degree of personal separation from the person signing off on paying $10,000 for them. And now imagine how much you could save if you started wiping this nonsense out of the entire government.
Government spending, however, is accounted as part of GDP and other economic metrics. Each one of those toilet seats sent the GDP up, improved the economics of the company delivering them, and even created some jobs. So getting rid of this nonsense will obviously 'hurt' the economy in the short-run, but in turn you get a sustainable system, dramatically reduce spending, and create a more competitive economy. When it's even possible to sell toilet seats for $10,000 (easily replaceable by 3D printing), who cares about the private market? To say nothing of the fact that merit/competitiveness is obviously completely nonexistent or farcical for many government contracts.
[1] - https://www.military.com/defensetech/2018/07/11/air-force-no...
Without the dems they need almost every Republican to agree because their margin is only 5 votes. Historically this is difficult because their ranks now include several morons and extremists most notably the lady who actually believed Jews were responsible for starting wildfires with space based lasers.
If a handful of extremists don't ask for crazy nonsense they will still have every hand out for pork.
Then it goes to the Senate where it needs 60 votes including dems to pass anything. The first round of crazy if it passes anything might easily end up with something too stupid to pass the Senate without also termination of the fillibuster.
No. American political parties are more akin to continuously-branded coalitions than parties in the way they work in parliamentary systems. There is a minority of House Republicans who will vote down any budget bill because they reject the concept of federal government.
Since the budget is only funded through March, the budget can be modified in March in order to extend the funding for it (all those "government shutdown avoidance negotiations"). At which point it won't matter whether it was budgeted or not.
I do not see your arguments
US has worker protections, even if US government goes bancrupt, it has to pay its obligations. And if government refuses to pay, no worker, even if employed, is getting anything!
This is not the world being offered to them, so good luck doing anything but throwing money at lawyers.
everyone who thinks laws are just something you can invoke like magic should go sit down.
Imagine Trump decided to offer a worker a trillion dollars. He writes a contract with the worker. It is irrelevant - the worker won't be paid because the executive branch is not allowed to spend money that hasn't been authorized by congress.
Also your last line is just bizarre. The US government can very much selectively pay some parties but not others during a shutdown. That's kind of the definition of a shutdown....
Plus this administration is already brazenly breaking laws. You think they won't violate worker protection laws? Sure, maybe the courts sort it out in a year or two, small comfort to the people who were relying on that income to pay their rent in the meantime.
If the government's offer is illegal, those who accepted it and performed their part of the contract may not be able to force the government to perform its part.
>And you think that an offer accepted by sending an email with "Resign" in the subject line is subject to these protections?
I'm saying that if you say "accept this agreement by sending 'Resign' in the subject line" and someone does so, that's a legally valid offer and acceptance of a contract. Are standards higher for the federal government on this?
Here's a quick blurb from a law firm blog, notice the "acts at its peril" language which is not the standard for private citizens contracting together:
"Authority Issues. Contract awards and contract modifications may be made on behalf of the government only by duly appointed contracting officers acting within the limits of both available funding and their delegated authority. This public policy principle of limited authority is strongly supported in the law. To the extent that a company incurs costs based upon the directions or promises of government persons without this essential authority, the company does so at its financial risk. Moreover, the contractor has the responsibility to know the scope of authority of the government official with whom it deals, and acts at its peril."
https://www.crowell.com/en/insights/publications/the-risks-a...
Even if the government exists, if Trump and Musk hold the payment system and you somehow get a judge to tell them to pay, they can just say no. Then what? Are you going to go Rambo? They hold a monopoly on violence and imprisonment.
This is why government's need to be set up with so many layers of indirect power and checks against direct power. this is why the military (should) have no role in governance.
This administration has been playing a lot of games with "budgeted" vs. "delayed" vs. "actively being worked on" (or not). So this isn't really that different than the abrupt cancellations or delays or re-org'ing of funded and legislatively mandated work.
The main difference is the uncertainty. IMO anyone would be incredibly foolish to accept a deal from a random email with such limited info on the exact terms of what happens in edge cases like you describe: shutdown, budget shenanigans, actual official RIF, etc.
EDIT: I'm not making any judgment about whether this particular thing is legal or not--just pointing out that it doesn't matter if it's legal if nobody in power intends to enforce the law.
We already saw this play out in his last term. Directing how laws are enforced is a function of the executive branch. Nothing will be done.
Your energy is better spent identifying and articulating the values you hold that these actions are an affront to and shouting that out.
Politics doesn't always act on instant gratification.
1: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/10/30/decade-af...
>Politics doesn't always act on instant gratification.
The odds are slim to none since the public didn’t already act, 4 years after the previous act of treason by Trump, on top of the fact that he campaigned on pardoning his treasonous co-conspirators. In fact, he was rewarded with control of all 3 branches of government.
Things have already changed since the last election.
Careful not to assume the public is composed of rational actors all of whom have good information, when they're demonstrably not and haven't. Drawing people's attention to the ongoing issues can result in a huge amount of buyer's remorse among people who tried hard not to pay attention to the election in hopes things could be more 'normal' if they voted for what they thought would be the political party they knew.
What sort of assumptions have you been seeing?
If you're already allowing the question to be begged, there's really no need for specificity in the argument.
Because if there was no law being broken, that means that the building was not on fire. People tell me that shouting "fire!" is supposed to be bad when there is no fire. I don't think they would accept it as being "low-specificity."
https://time.com/7212753/trump-elon-musk-federal-laws-legal-...
Definitely in uncharted territory, but these are some possible laws that have been violated:
Impoundment Control Act of 1974, Privacy Act of 1974, the Federal Information Security Modernization Act (FISMA), Computer Fraud and Abuse Act (CFAA), Internal Revenue Code’s Section 6103.
My guess is that at this point, talk is cheap, and actions speak louder than words.
So saying the same thing, just a different language.
And no: I have zero clue what the actions would look like. Maybe suing the govt?
It is completely valid to say something is illegal and unenforced.
Consider that non-enforcement doesn't suddenly make something legal. Enforcement can start at any time. (Will it? Who knows!)
It seems somewhat vacuous to say it when it applies to every second administrative act.
What is an administrative act in this context?
Illegal + unenforced can generate the same outcome as legal. Or someone can get arrested later when the enforcement begins.
There's a big difference.
There's no difference in the short term. Something being illegal, doesn't mean it will stop anytime soon in this political situation. Remaking the same obvious point is tedious and smacks of word games to try a to make a backdoor political statement. Yes, some act is odious and against a law. Not relevant to whether or not it will have the desired consequence, regardless of who is ever held accountable.
Yikes. Not trying to make any statement other than legality and enforcement are two distinct concepts. I think it's important to consider all 4 combinations.
What political statement do you think I'm trying to make? I can't even identify what side of the aisle the statement you think I'm trying to make would fall on.
Sometimes a comment is just a comment, not a secretly coded political message.
> That sounds illegal
> There is a simple dictionary difference between "legal" and "illegal.
This is kind of response is a repeat of exactly what I have described.
Again, "illegal" was used in context to mean something else. ie The damage will be remedied...which it cannot fully be, nor is it likely to be. Sampling conversations going forward from that, is where the thread has been allowed to be unraveled.
Elevating the original statement to be more than what it meant in context, is irrelevant. Posters are continually choosing new (eg dictionary!) interpretations of the sentiment at every turn.
Once the impact has been made, it's pretty sticky. Once these workers are gone and have been replaced, we're unlikely to unwind it. Once people are deported we're unlikely to un-deport them (I'm not even sure what that would mean).
Completely correct for individuals, though. Unwinding is simple there, you can just send them to jail at a later date.
If someone steals from you and there's been no conviction, was a crime committed or not? You're still out whatever was taken, but by your logic no theft has occurred until after someone has been convicted of committing the crime.
> But, as Chayes studied the graft of the Karzai government, she concluded that it was anything but benign. Many in the political élite were not merely stealing reconstruction money but expropriating farmland from other Afghans. Warlords could hoodwink U.S. special forces into dispatching their adversaries by feeding the Americans intelligence tips about supposed Taliban ties. Many of those who made money from the largesse of the international community enjoyed a sideline in the drug trade. Afghanistan is often described as a “failed state,” but, in light of the outright thievery on display, Chayes began to reassess the problem. This wasn’t a situation in which the Afghan government was earnestly trying, but failing, to serve its people. The government was actually succeeding, albeit at “another objective altogether” — the enrichment of its own members. Washington supported Hamid Karzai and his ministers and adjutants in the hope that they could establish a stable government, help pursue Al Qaeda, and keep the Taliban at bay. But the Karzai government wasn’t a government at all, Chayes concluded. It was “a vertically integrated criminal organization.”
For example:
https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artII-S2-C2-3...
https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artII-S2-C2-3...
Any observation you have for the oligopolists being able to commit mass murder or whatever won't apply to that people.
I encourage before doing that to find out if the thing is actually illegal, and to cite the law that it violates. This will be better than relying on sounds or smells.
I would be very nervous about personally benefitting from what might amount to a scheme to embezzle government funds.
Just because nobody in government today is interested in looking into whether or not this is legal doesn’t mean it will never come under scrutiny.
Well we'll be nice and just fire them, won't even ask for salary to be returned.
If they were terminated for following a lawful direction they would have pretty easy recourse.
Firstly: Its telling these people to work from their principle place of work, their home. Something thats been commonplace since covid.
Secondly, "Do Nothing" seems like a very legal thing for these people to be doing.
I suspect that theres not a court in the land that would convict a government employee for doing nothing.
Orchestrating a grand plan to waste government money by requesting multiple staff to stop working might be a grey area that the courts will decide on. But no employee would be expected to take it to court to test its validity instead of following a lawful direction.
It's not clear to me that this is even a "direction" never-mind a "lawful direction".
The way the staff member opts into this arrangement is to write "I resign" in an email. There is no "direction" telling them to do this. It is entirely voluntary behavior on the part of the federal employee.
The issue being discussed I believe was whether they have any legal protections if they don't get paid.
I don't think anyone was claiming they'd go to jail for resigning or anything like that.
Since the promise to pay staff who resigned doesn't necessarily appear to be legal it doesn't appear they necessarily have recourse if not paid given their resignation was voluntary.
In the case of taking early retirement, or accepting a pile of money for doing X / nothing, then you better be somewhat certain that it will last long enough.
Appealed to Supreme Court which is overrepresented by Trump cultists.
Trump's DOJ refuses to enact whatever verdict the court determines.
And the last four years, for which Biden pardoned his son, certainly nothing illegal in his doings I'm sure.
I am not taking a position on this particular policy being legal or not, it's too technical for me to know about and it's not something I want to research.
This kind of hyperbole isn’t helpful when the outgoing President hands out pardons like they were coupons, nor when the President can’t remember signing EOs and is known to have limited mental faculties for the past few years, all while being shielded by his inner circle. I mean the Constitution is pretty specific about a President not fit to do their job.
If you had said “the rule of law stayed dead on Jan 20th” I might disagree but it’s at least a defensible opinion.
They're paving a road to hell.
You realize that the check and balances never required that different parties head each branch of government?
I'm not sure you have even a basic understanding of how the US government is organized by the US constitution.
They do in effect, because the existence of political parties means there is no reason for members of the same party to check and balance each other across different branches, as opposed to collaborating across branches to consolidate their power.
Which is exactly what's happening.
The Democratic and Republican parties are not monolithic. They don't always agree and there are plenty of differences across individuals.
Hence, the Founding Fathers never required that a different party sit in the executive and legislative functions.
If a federal civil servant receives payroll, but does no work, for months on end, they have not taken a buyout, they have defrauded the federal government. What is the statute of limitations for that crime? Longer than 4 years. And Trump is term-limited.
That said, I agree with others that the more likely outcome in this specific case is that everyone who takes the “buyout” simply has their payments cut off rather quickly.
There's a lot of stuff that is bog standard in industry, but cannot be done in government service.
but also, legality is a thing of the past in the new way of things it feels.
The only reason they aren't is not that most people are violating precisely zero of the many thousands of laws they've never even heard of, it's strictly a lack of enforcement.
Which is where that attitude comes from: If the only reason anybody isn't in jail is that they haven't become a target and so nobody has bothered to look up which laws they're breaking, whether you broke a law or not is no longer relevant because the answer is always yes, and the thing that determines whether you go to jail is who your friends (or enemies) are.
If you want to get back to the rule of law, you need to get back to having only laws that ordinary people can understand, remember and follow.
Would you take it?
That's a setup for firing people on the spot for cause if I've ever seen one.
I wrote it elsewhere, but no. It may or may not be a paid vacation. Agencies get to decide themselves, not OPM, whether the employees are put on leave or continue to work. There is zero guarantee that anyone will get administrative leave under the offering.
We are getting into banana republic territory now with no rule of law.
Not sure about that one. Nor do I think the election would have gone the way it did if people generally figured their choice was to have Elon Musk's word be law, and everything else including the Constitution to be thrown away as old hat.
I really don't think people priced that into their decision, so buyer's remorse becomes a real factor. People may demand that rule of law not be thrown away.
We are way past the point of rule of law.
While the population as a whole may not be in favor of it, because of how the way the electoral college works, even knowing what they know now, he would win. Not to mention how the Senate is setup - each state has two senators regardless of size - and gerrymandering.
Hell at this point, I hope they reinstate the full state tax deduction, let states tax more, defund the federal government and let the red states rot in poverty and the Blue wealthier states work together
So future administrations are likely to retroactively approve payments if it becomes a political issue. Honestly taking the buyout without an act of congress backing it is likely the more risky here unless you where already planning to leave which is likely why most people took it.
You need to replace lower level employees as Trump is trying, and at 1% adoption mostly failing to do.
In this case, Trump/Musk don't want these workers back, so there's no political incentive or pressure to pay them. They can just not do so if it's "not funded by Congress" (usually there's fine print about this, at least there is in gov contracts, which are similar).
But it’s not just about current workers, new administrations have handed out money to people for past issues years or sometimes decades after the fact. Just as an example the 1990 Radiation Exposure Compensation Act was about compensation for people exposed during the Cold War.
$50,000 to individuals residing or working "downwind" of the Nevada Test Site $75,000 for workers participating in atmospheric nuclear weapons tests $100,000 for uranium miners, millers, and ore transporters https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radiation_Exposure_Compensatio...
Considering that SpaceX is so far behind on its bills that dozens and dozens of companies in Texas have had to place liens against the company, my guess is that neither the Twitter people, nor the SpaceX people, nor the federal buyout people will ever see a dime.
For some reason, links to stories about the leins and SpaceX becoming notorious for not paying its bills are hard to come by, but it's in the printed newspapers regularly; as recently as yesterday. Here's and older link I could find: https://www.chron.com/culture/article/spacex-overdue-bills-t...
EDIT: Specifically the claim that "SpaceX is so far behind on its bills that dozens and dozens of companies in Texas have had to place liens against the company"
[0] https://www.reuters.com/legal/elon-musk-beats-500-million-se...
I know it's en-vogue to hate on Elon companies, and a lot of people would love to hear that the World's Richest Man is having financial issues, but in reality it's a bunch of starry-eyed newgrads trying to make the world better but taking on more than they can handle.
To say that China is "very effective at copying all the stuff SpaceX is doing" is quite the stretch.
(Counter point is that New Glenn's one orbital launch is more impressive than all of the Starship launches combined, as SpaceX is willing to burn hardware during tests and they have many more Starship tests to go).
In spite of all of this they are still a very distant 2nd place behind SpaceX. If anything ITAR hurts more than helps SpaceX since it means their talent pool is strictly limited to strictly domestic talent. They seriously have something "special" going on.
Artemis definitely isn't going to be putting anybody on the Moon. It again relies on the SLS which is just an endless money pit. But I do think it'll be interesting to see if SpaceX gets there before China. But I think the big picture is on Mars. I expect whoever gets their first will probably foretell who dominates space for the next century. Because once you can put men on Mars, the entire Solar System starts to viably become your playground.
It would be surprising if spacex wasn't just awful at paying things on time, as there's no reason they should have actual financial difficulties.
E.g. intern that knows nothing
From the perspective of a crusty old man anyway.
The Manhattan Project was made possible by similarly young grad students.
You can be as crusty as you like, but the reality is that young smart people can be extraordinarily effective under the right conditions.
As a customer of SpaceX, though, I have to say their customer service is barebones. It is almost a relief when I work with another launch provider since they provide a much better service and support. I always compare it to a low cost airline in my head, like flying Spirit instead of Emirates kind of thing.
The propaganda machine must be real good.
Reuters, May 2024: "Quick to Build, Slow to Pay" https://www.reuters.com/technology/space/musks-spacex-is-qui...
SAEN, Feb, 2025: "Contractors say they're owed more than $5.5 million" https://www.expressnews.com/business/article/spacex-unpaid-c...
There's also a "somewhat" unique one from MySanAntonio that goes over the general range of lawsuits that are being filed against Musk in Texas over a range of issues. It happens to include the Reuters article lawsuits and liens as one of the many listed.
MySanAntonio, Sept, 2024: "lawsuits in Texas" https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/austin/article/elon-musk-t...
It don't appear to be because SpaceX is having trouble paying.
I would guess SpaceX are delaying payment as much as possible because it is cheap lending and because it's run as an extremely mercenary company.
Their costs of deliquent payment are likely below their lending costs. So optimally don't pay until the cost of deliquency exceeds lending costs (maybe ≈ junk bond rate per year).
Musk doesn't pay "because he can get away with it" isn't better or worse than "because there's a money shortage"; and in any case, the federal government being delinquent is a very different kind of catastrophe, as is it making promises it refuses to keep.
Elmo being a shitty business partner isn’t the same as the US.
There's a possibility of contagion from Musk to the US government, but I very much agree they're different — and it's much worse if that contagion goes from potential to actual.
2.5mm in liens is just how much they have proveably shorted construction workers in Texas. It doesn't count other vendors doing work that isn't elegible for a lien, or how many workers got shorted, but it just wasn't enough to worry about.
If you were one of the 70+ businesses that held a lien against them, you would think differently.
> It don't appear to be because SpaceX is having trouble paying.
Having the cash to be paid out, and having the systems in place to pay your bills are two different things.
> I would guess SpaceX are delaying payment as much as possible because it is cheap lending and because it's run as an extremely mercenary company.
Violating the terms of your contract isn't cheap lending. It is fraud. The fact that they are getting away with it isn't a defense.
> Their costs of deliquent payment are likely below their lending costs. So optimally don't pay until the cost of deliquency exceeds lending costs (maybe ≈ junk bond rate per year).
Consistently and intentionally violating the terms of payment is, as noted above, fraud. They are getting away with, and they might continue to get away with it, but mercenary businesses getting away with crime is a bad thing.
Aside: I think most moral people struggle to even recognise amoral decision making. I also suspect that learning to be more sociopathic can be profitable. I don't much admire most doyens of business. Trying to fight amoral business people seems like a personally losing game because you eventually internalise their tricks.
Everything you said says nothing of how they pay their vendors. $2.5mm is not exactly breaking news for construction projects. Most large projects have some percentage of total project value in liens.
I know we all want to get upset but its too hard to say either way, the dollar amount is far too small, it maybe involve a large portion of contractors and based on the cost of the development does not seem to be a rampant issue.
I hate to be this guy but please provide a source for this. I’ve been involved in the construction industry for quite a while, almost exclusively on large and mega projects, and “most” of my jobs have not had any percentage of their total project value in liens.
One company that refused to pay for work my (then) company performed is SpaceX. Our work did not permit filing a lien.
Now SpaceX could totally be stretching their NWC as far as it goes and always paying late on purpose. Really impossible to tell in this style of shock reporting.
I would be surprised in your experience that you have never had cases of a GC not paying on his end and those folks throwing a <$100k lien on the project. Or a dispute between the GC and payer.
——
SpaceX donated $265M to Trump last year:
https://www.opensecrets.org/2024-presidential-race/donald-tr...
It sounds like that’s comparable to their total profit for the year, and it would cover the liens 100 fold.
I wonder how much of that cash was taxpayer money that got laundered and used for Trump’s personal finances.
The page I linked is confusing. (Why attribute it to SpaceX, but not X or Tesla?)
> mostly on the back of [its] delusional investors creating a self-fulfilling prophecy
continues to hold true.
They should have used that money to buy GOG and go into digital distribution competing with Valve & Epic, or something like that.
But then again, so many stable companies get pushed by their investors to make big ambitious bets, then go belly-up. I kinda got respect for them just focusing on a good brick-and-mortor game buying experience.
JP Morgan’s analyst position on the company really says it all: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-deeply-skeptical-wal...
The scary thing is that the lie is so big, everyone is exposed to it — TSLA is 2% of VTI’s holdings.
Robotaxi is also a pretty interesting bet. I'm skeptical that it'll pan out, or at least that it will ever reach the same level of safety as Waymo without lidar, but on the other hand AI has obviously significantly advanced and been significantly democratized compared to when Tesla first launched Autopilot over a decade ago. More significantly, I see the decentralized rollout strategy as a potentially viable path to beat Waymo to the punch of a full-scale deployment. Waymo might still get there first based on its headstart and massive warchest, but Tesla's strategy is essentially crowdfunding it while using the market to optimize geographic distribution. The downside is that allowing the Robotaxi to be used in arbitrary/novel locations might be significantly less safe and/or more computationally expensive than Waymo's approach, so it's a more uncertain bet than Waymo.
It just seems that self driving is staying a "hard problem" (harder than expected!)
Both would be insanely economically valuable.
I do fear humanoid robots will face intense competition from Chinese mass manufacturing, undercutting them with cost while mostly matching features.
Elon dangles all sorts of bullshit to get you thinking about nerd nonsense. “OMG, a Tesla robot will do my laundry on Mars with my robot rocket ship!”
It’s all bullshit. They’ve been dangling the imminent $25k car for a decade. The Tesla roadster that people put huge deposits on is nowhere to be found.
People are figuring it out. My previous comment would have created a 100+ comment thread in HN 5 years ago.
But it isn't what I'd call insane. Google's gross margin is 58%, profit is $349B.
Because the benchmark set was "insane". I agree no car company gets insane profitability levels. Tesla was never insanely profitable by most metrics.
1. https://techcrunch.com/2024/07/10/elon-musk-does-not-owe-ex-...
Case: https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/68307087/agrawal-v-musk...
The only substantive order in the case to date appears to be one denying Elon Musk et al.'s motion to dismiss one of the claims: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.42...
> When vacancies happen in the Representation from any State, the Executive Authority thereof shall issue Writs of Election to fill such Vacancies.
- Article I, Section 2
For the Senate, the governor of the state may (per their legislative body's approval) make a temporary appointment and will also hold a special election:
> When vacancies happen in the representation of any State in the Senate, the executive authority of such State shall issue writs of election to fill such vacancies: Provided, That the legislature of any State may empower the executive thereof to make temporary appointments until the people fill the vacancies by election as the legislature may direct.
- Amendment XVII
https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/constitution-transcri...
https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/amendments-11-27#toc-...
Reminds me of this: https://www.upworthy.com/hypernormalization-explained.
House Rule XXI (blocking unauthorized spending) gets waived a majority of the time. 50% of expired programs haven't been reviewed in 10+ years. 2023 alone saw $236B in improper payments.
So IMO while the buyout could get axed the pattern suggests they'll likely kick the can with another CR. Perhaps this administration will try to force a different tack, I suppose we'll see.
This is where I go ”I know nothing about US law but if I wouldn’t win this argument in any court even without representation then it must be fundamentally broken”
The argument would be ”those who entered the agreement didn’t have the authority to do so” but obviously that can’t hold water.
According to that hypothesis, it won't require more funding.
Maybe there are some legal differences in offering what would otherwise be wages as a lump-sum payment, but the budget for those wages already exists (else they could not be employed).
The only thing would require more budget is hiring backfills (while paying out the leave).
Supposedly, they can get the same work done with fewer people.
It’s arguably an unconscionable contract, it’s so wickedly one-sided.
> The federal workforce's normal attrition rate is about 6% a year, meaning some of those who've taken the buyout may have been planning to leave government service anyway.
Wow, talk about an amazing deal if you already happened to be planning on leaving...
Give then history of this particular admistration & business', I personally wouldn't be too confident in actually getting paid up to Sept.
Wow, talk about an amazing deal if you already happened to be planning on leaving...
I'm guessing the vast majority who take the deal were already planning to leave? So we're wasting tax payer money giving them 8 months severance when it could have been 0.This doesn't seem "efficient" to me, but "efficient" is a word that doesn't actually mean anything without context, which they don't provide.
I think they will find a lot of waste - question is if people in the USA will agree.
I also think there might be some shady math going on; they're counting every canceled thing as "savings", but I don't think they're going to count the cost of rehiring the lost workers and redoing these contracts.
Efficiency does have a sensible definition in isolation: an efficient system is one in which there are no more Pareto improvements. From the government perspective, you could consider this in terms of the cost/service frontier, and actions which move the government towards that frontier improve efficiency.
However, I do agree with your practical concern that 'efficiency' is being used without regard at all for the services being delivered. This seems particularly likely since the government is attempting to eliminate whole departments or agencies by executive order, implying it gives no value to said services.
I had to look up Pareto improvement, and I don't think that many systems exist where improvements are better in "every way" like the definition suggests.
For example, most big tech companies will use something like Kubernetes (or an equivalent) to deploy multiple instances of a service and then load balance between them, even when none of them have reached full capacity.
In one sense, this is "inefficient", in that we have computers sitting idle that could be doing work, but it's also efficient in another sense, which is to minimize downtime; if one of the computers or service crash, you won't experience much (or any) downtime because one of the replicas will handle requests.
Someone could get rid of all the replicas and then claim victory in that they made things "more efficient" by reducing the cost, but that will come at the expense of possible downtime.
Every system is different, and figuring out where on the spectrum you draw that line is rarely clear-cut, and there is almost always tradeoffs no matter what decision you make. Sometimes you can live with more downtime and it's better to cut the costs of the extra computers, sometimes downtime is not an option and you need a ton of redundancy.
Humans are not computers, so it's not the best analogy in the world, but I think it still mostly holds; it looks like in a hand-wavey way they're just defining efficiency as "spending less money", but that really doesn't make any sense unless you can show that you're getting comparable results while spending less cash.
I'm not saying that the government is perfect with spending money, obviously, and it's entirely possible that DOGE will find something that really should be eliminated. I'm just saying that it's rarely cut and dry, and it's very rare that cutting something is just a universal net improvement.
Seriously, what do you claim they want?
A fascist dictatorship? You still need a functioning government for that. (It doesn't function for the people, but it still requires a large number of competent employees.)
Anarchy? Mad Max? Everybody dies, so no government employees are needed?
Takeover by Canada, Mexico, China, or Russia, so it becomes their problem?
Or do you just claim that they're so stupid that they haven't thought past "Hur, let's, like, destroy the government, man"?
Seriously, what do you actually claim that they actually want?
Some of the Republicans just want to maintain power after Trump is gone.
Trump is stupid and easily led and operates out of grift and animus. Musk is definitely going to get something out of this. Most likely federal contracts.
Also a lot of Trump voters see him as their best defense to maintain their “way of life” and see the trends where the US is becoming a majority/minority, secular country. It was bad enough that this country let an “uppity Black” run the country for 8 years.
Not really, just a functioning police force.
A dictatorship can't be just a thugocracy. It has to keep society running, perhaps not up to western capitalist standards, but at least above the point of collapse.
And there is always prison labor that you can depend on. Especially with private prisons. Prison labor is already being used to fight wildfires in LA for instance and we have the highest incarceration rate in the world. That’s cheap labor and another benefit it’s all those “drug dealing thugs” anyway.
I don't think they've thought much past that.
We can look at the US Postal Service as a bit of a microcosm of this entire situation. Conservatives have been complaining about the Post Office my entire life, using that to restrict funding to it, which causes it to operate worse, then use that as justification to reduce funding to the Post Office, in a frustrating cycle. There's probably several reasons to why they do this, but I think the main one is that their goal is to replace it with private, for-profit "equivalents", like FedEx or UPS or DHL.
I suspect that this might be a similar thing. They're wrecking the government by yanking away all funding, causing things to get worse, and then using that as proof that the government does things badly, so they can replace these things with for-profit versions that we contract out.
You mention Russia, and I think it's Russia, but you're wrong that it becomes their problem. It's their opportunity and their revenge for the Cold War and the collapse of the USSR.
Trump's run by them, in some fashion, and doesn't really know anything about the systems he's dismantling. He's just being instructed where to do the most damage, and to run his mouth in any sort of way to provide justification. It doesn't matter if he's believed.
All the stuff he's breaking is fundamental to American power, notably soft power exerted on the world, but also the R&D, the health system, the whole nine yards. Russia wishes all of that to be destroyed and not brought back. They would like it if the dollar is not the world's reserve currency. They'd like it if the world behaved as though Russian claims of the CIA lurking behind every tree overthrowing every government, were accurate and legitimate descriptions of what the USA really is.
So that's Trump and the relatively few people firmly in his corner, 'Freedom Caucus' types who've been known to openly threaten their peers with Russian blackmail, and of course Russia itself which publically made an announcement about how they expected great payback from the help they'd given Trump in this election.
Now, to Elon Musk, Peter Thiel and their ilk. Unlike Trump, they are not completely dependent on Russia. In fact some of them like Musk actively collaborate with Russia as equals. There's a catch: Russia doesn't want to deal with equals and won't help people who are too powerful. So, Elon Musk is in some ways going rogue even in this context. He is probably trying to execute Russia's goal of ruining the US because he's imagining some kind of reinvention of society, and he probably believes he'll have Russia's help behind him as he transforms society into some godawful mess he'd like, perhaps like one from his childhood.
He's likely to be horribly surprised to discover that he has not gained Russian trust, even though he's served them well. Trump is completely theirs, but Elon can't be trusted unless he's completely ruined, so what Elon wants is Bond-villain power, and no matter what happens he's not getting that fantasy fulfilled. This is his high point, while he is still doing the damage his allies need. Once that's done, he's on borrowed time.
That's what they want. None of them expect it to be 'a functioning government' for various reasons.
It might sound weird, but I believe Musk is genuinely on some kind of a megalomaniac mad scientist superproject that requires taking power of the largest world economy to realize, quite possibly involving Mars. The guy is narcissistic to the extreme, and I think he really wants to end up in the textbooks as some kind of messiah figure on a planetary scale.
Trump's political desires are much too primitive and gut-driven to classify as "fascism"; really any authoritarian arrangement will serve him just fine, but if his inner circle arranges full-on fascism for him, he'll take it.
Then you have the Christian nationalists, who have very specific plans about, well, everything, but are also very sure that what they are doing is in accordance with God's plan and desires and therefore by definition great and cannot fail.
Then there's all the big biz tagging along for the sake of deregulation and lower taxes mostly, but also to try to be there to slow things down wrt stuff that hurts them directly like tariffs.
I just remember in Trump's first term, and this is something that has stuck with me since, was how he promised, on day one, to "repeal and replace" the Affordable Care Act, only for a few weeks after taking office saying "Nobody knew health care could be so complicated" [1]. It was funny, because pretty much everyone but Donald Trump knew that healthcare could be extremely complicated. The ACA was not repealed, at least not completely, nor was it replaced.
I think a similar thing might happen in a month or two; these departments are going to be cut, there will be lots of delays and complaints and eventually Trump will go out and say "No one knew that these government services were actually necessary". Then they might have to rehire a bunch of the people that left.
That's my hope anyway.
[1] https://www.cnn.com/2017/02/27/politics/trump-health-care-co...
All of the sensible, principled Republicans have died or retired. The modern Republican Party seem willing to go off the cliff with him.
The tech sector is firmly in his pocket and all of the news media are owned by corporate giants who are literally bribing him to get what they want by “settling lawsuits”.
I always thought it was silly when people said they are leaving the country if $x wins even during the first Trump administration. But I’ve never seen anything like this or imagined the complete disregard for the law by either party before and I’m 50.
My wife is a Mexican immigrant. She does have a green card, and our attorney has filed the paperwork for her citizenship about four months ago. She's probably fine, but it's scary. I have to keep an ear to the ground for the news, and figure out if we need to evacuate.
Who the hell knows what is going to happen? If Trump signs some sort of order revoking all green cards, even if it gets struck down by some miracle, a lot of damage can still be done in the interim.
We have our immigration attorney's phone number on speed dial. It's depressing that I have to do that, but I'm not sure what else I can do.
He’s already made thousands of Venezuelans illegal immigrants that were here legally under temporary protection status and threaten deportation and tried to revoke birthright citizenship.
He’s definitely going to do his best to keep people out from “shit hole countries that only send rapists and murderers” (if it isn’t clear, I don’t hold that opinion)
As it stands I don’t really know what I’m supposed to do other than that.
Firstly, are you basing this assertion on any sort of reality, or are you just 'sus' about it?
Secondly, marginal improvements for millions of people in many different areas is nothing to scoff at - that is precisely what a government is supposed to do - and will add up to very significant improvements very quickly.
Moreover, there are a lot of things that are kind of bullshit; her office refused to provide paper towels or soap in the kitchen, so she had to spend her own money and bring them in herself.
Are soap or paper towels expensive? No, it's not beyond her means, but it's not like most private sector jobs "brag" about having paper towels near the sink, it's usually not considered a "perk".
ETA:
Just a note, these complaints go back to even the Obama years, I think.
The key takeaways:
- staffers with high school or some college make more, on average, working for federal gov't, primarily due to the benefits. But it's an exaggeration to describe the difference as "unparalleled"
- comp is roughly equivalent for holders of bachelor's
- comp for holders of professional degrees or doctorates (JD, MD, MBA, PhD) is significantly lower on average for federal jobs
This is just not really true. I work in the private sector with former federal employees and every single one is making more money now than they were in government.
What is true is that there are jobs in the government that are not available at all in the private sector, like prosecutor, police officer, military officer, spy, law clerk, legislative director, special agent, etc.
Many of these require high educational achievement and/or expensive training and are compensated to attract talented people. But it’s also true that most of those people who leave for the private sector make more money there.
Except it doesn't entitle them to stop working. OPM cannot tell workers to stop working or put them on leave. It's up to their agency to determine if they will keep them working or put them on leave. The framing by whoever is in OPM is disingenuous.
8 months paid would be an insane deal for private industry layoffs. We all just get a sad email and some well wishes.
To compare to a private job, the actual pay a public employee made per hour of work cannot be known until after the pensioner and spouse are deceased.
This is why you should ignore any absolute numbers about people taking the buyout.
You want to look at the relative percentage taking the deal compared to their normal turnover.
If the number of people taking the "buyout" isn't significantly higher than their normal turnover, that's a sign that they're just overpaying people who were already leaving.
Any takers around here want to elaborate on their choice?
What does "planning on leaving" mean? I am personally planning on leaving this year, if a better opportunity shows up. As I was last year.
"Planning on leaving" means very little until you have a firm offer in hand. And when you do have that offer, then you are just leaving, not "planning on leaving".
While the unsatisfied employees are the target, my observations indicate that a high percentage of active and skilled people are willing to take this offer, as they are sure that they will find a new place within a reasonable time, so it's basically, free money. And those are the people that the company should try to keep as much as it could. While the "give me a task with the perfect description, and I will do it" folks will stay until they are kicked out, as, usually, they are not up to taking the initiative.
That's why I saw how the companies that were changing the rules in the process: "well, it's an offer, but your manager needs to approve that first", and other tricks to be able to reject it for the top performers. Needless to say, it leads to the bad moral.
However, the companies I'm mentioning had way fewer employees than the federal workforce, so the chances are that with that size it's impossible to do it the "right" way.
The goal is to destroy most of these federal agencies, so doing things that are "unwise" for the future of those agencies is exactly the point.
Like supporting advertising and/or furthering the financialization of our economy?
If it makes money that means it must be "good", right?
Part of me thinks that just ends up with a higher percentage of worse workers.
Obviously many hard working people will stay, but you'd be pretty certain the people will little skill and value, ironically, are going to be the highest percentage that stay as they know its not going to be easy to get another job.
The problem is when we have the lazy and incompetent bureaucrats sticking around, and us the taxpayers are paying for their pension while getting back very little in return.
Honestly, I'm not sure what all the screaming and crying on hacker news is about; hackers are all about creating efficiency with unorthodox insights and skills. pretty sure no hackers have said "why yes, I've love to pay more in taxes for the bureaucrats to retire in style after doing very little"
I think this is one of those ideas that has been spouted for so long that we don't really stop to think about whether it is true. Private and public entities (and employees) certainly have different incentives, but they also have different mandates, and I've certainly known plenty of inefficient private enterprises and efficient public ones. Do you have any way of verifying or proving this idea that you can share?
A lot of people with considerable expertise in the area have looked into whether it's true. They almost always come to the same conclusion: overall it's a wash.
If you look closer some industries (like say your corner coffee shop in a big city) are clearly better off private, and others like roads and fire fighting don't work when privately held.
In general a competitive market will out-do public owned, free markets that aren't competitive are worse than public owned.
But there are always exceptions. A fine example is the health system. I don't know why, but as the US demonstrates even with a competitive health market public ownership outperforms a purely private system by a fairly large margin.
https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/most-lawsuit-over-m...
This is NOT anything resembling a normal situation; to treat it as such is merely an exercise in normalcy bias.
Under an authoritarian regime, as is being setup as we type, legal actions are irrelevant as the judicial and legislative branches lose independence and serve the executive. Work actions likely result in the union being decertified and dissolved.
Look at how the US treats the International Criminal Court today, a legal body it itself helped create after WWII. Not a huge leap to think they will ignore state courts in the US. Who's going to arrest them?
Why would they be?
Having spent most of my life surrounded by military dudes, they support other military dudes. But they very much do not support anybody in DC.
My understanding is that the consequences of that decision is being felt even to this day. I only know about it because of the recent airplane accident
Since I'm fairly sure my goose is cooked either way, I am considering doing the deferred resignation thing just to get a few more dollars in my pocket before the inevitable comes.
> Donald Trump often portrays himself as a savior of the working class who will "protect your job." But a USA TODAY NETWORK analysis found he has been involved in more than 3,500 lawsuits over the past three decades — and a large number of those involve ordinary Americans, like the Friels, who say Trump or his companies have refused to pay them.
> In addition to the lawsuits, the review found more than 200 mechanic’s liens — filed by contractors and employees against Trump, his companies or his properties claiming they were owed money for their work — since the 1980s. The liens range from a $75,000 claim by a Plainview, N.Y., air conditioning and heating company to a $1 million claim from the president of a New York City real estate banking firm. On just one project, Trump’s Taj Mahal casino in Atlantic City, records released by the New Jersey Casino Control Commission in 1990 show that at least 253 subcontractors weren’t paid in full or on time, including workers who installed walls, chandeliers and plumbing.
> In courtroom testimony, the manager of the general contractor for the Doral renovation admitted that a decision was made not to pay The Paint Spot because Trump “already paid enough.” As the construction manager spoke, “Trump’s trial attorneys visibly winced, began breathing heavily, and attempted to make eye contact” with the witness, the judge noted in his ruling.
Elon doesn't have the legal authority to make this offer today, it's poorly defined, and not a standard separation policy for federal employees. I'm not saying they won't be paid out, but I would't bet my livelihood on it
Individual cases are going through arbitration now instead. Some are winning: https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2024/09/24/79...
The chief executive of the new administration is literally and actually widely known for doing that exact thing repeatedly, for decades and decades, up to and including screwing local municipalities who entered into binding legal agreements with him to incur expenses to be repaid in full as part of his campaign.
This is not bias or propaganda it is fact.
This is not where you were now. This is where you were four years ago.
2.9M federal employees
0.6% have taken buyout
https://usafacts.org/articles/how-many-people-work-for-the-f...https://www.opm.gov/retirement-center/retirement-statistics/
Basically, yes.
If they had worked within the existing VSIP (voluntary separation) and VERA (early retirement) systems, maybe by tweaking things like max payouts, they could have almost guaranteed 10%+ by September, imho.
The haphazard and non-standard way they’ve gone about it, however, makes me think that they will be at the low end of their range.
The other possible explanations are:
- they don’t really intend to pay those who resign (e.g., via admin leave status and then having a furlough in March)
- their ultimate goal is to have people not take the deal so that they can just fire with impunity. Imho, this type of reduction will only work for folks on probation (who, imho, are the only ones who should actually consider taking the resignation offer).
You can read the actual 180 day plan to "deconstruct the Administrative State" in the infamous Project 2025 manifesto https://static.project2025.org/2025_MandateForLeadership_FUL...
Poetic justice
> Rather than de-Baathifaction, Trump and Musk are giving us de-wokeification. Expect the same ruinous results.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/03/opinion/trump-musk-iraq-t...
Are you making a deal they will actually pay, and could it be that the administration simply chooses to ignore the courts?
2) They are targeting particular employees more.
The 8-month buyout offer is significantly better than the one-time offer from Clinton in the 90's [1], even adjusting for inflation, so I'd expect that there's a large group of individuals & families that are just taking the time to evaluate the decision.
[https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/statement-the-buyo...]
It's almost strange to me that this aspect, and stupidity of injecting non-compiling code to human mainframes collective that runs on legalese in an attempt to collect such data, seem to be rarely discussed.
Is that all it takes? Think they check DKIM and SPF?
e: https://old.reddit.com/r/fednews/comments/1if91mn/opm_fork_i...
“Will Employees Who Resign Have a Remedy?”
In other words, this universe.
https://apnews.com/article/trump-buyouts-to-all-federal-empl...
But does this include benefits ? How about contributions to the pension, what will be the pension benefits when you retire ? Will you be fully vested when you leave ? What happens to your security clearance (if you have one)
There are many unknowns, so to me, if you work for the federal gov, you would be insane to take this package. Unless of course you already have a guaranteed Job you can start when you leave.
Plus many IRS employees tried to take this package and was denied, now the Fed has a list of employees that want to leave. Will they be fired once Tax season is over without the 8 month package ?
Are you someone who took a federal job where you were working from home, and the nearest office near you is 5 hours away? And now you can't sell your home in time for the deadline to start working in the office?
Then yeah, you take the gamble on not getting paid. The only problem with this approach is you cannot collect unemployment like you can if you're let go.
But maybe the argument is if enough people take it before the March budget deadline, then each departments budget can be proportionately reduced in the next cycle.
Does anyone know the math and politics on this? Why didn't DOGE just put hiring freezes in place and wait for people to leave? Honest question. I'm not looking to bait anyone into mud slinging about Trump and Elon.
Plus these people are unlikely to ever get paid. This is all operating outside of congress. If the institutions survive at all this could become a mess of expensive lawsuits and settlements. But I suppose their intention is to permanently cut Congress out of the picture.
You can also see the filings that show that Lindsey Graham doesn't get paid for being on their board, nor do any of their directors, and you can go see what they did spend money on. There's a more or less equivalent org that draws its directors from Democrats like this one does Republicans. Speaking of "uncovering" you can go read the press coverage from 2018 when the first Trump administration pushed to cut the funding of the National Endowment of Democracy (which sits above these two party-associated organizations). Of course this was in a time where the Trump administration actually behaved as if Congress controlled the funding.
For an amusing detail you can read the letter sent by senators at the time defending the NED's funding, and observe the signature of Marco Rubio, who now purports to have taken over USAID in his capacity as Secretary of State.
As far as I can tell there's not even any evidence that DOGE did anything specifically relating to this group beyond just that they killed USAID. DOGE fan Twitter accounts have posted about it, just linking to those same already-available filings. Fans just reading down the list of things USAID funded gets you this same result. It's definitely a good place to go if you want to see a bunch of incurious people posting "head exploding" emojis.
That's probably their angle but tbh I'd think more of the tenure of someone who turned down money to keep their job than one who quit it for a one time payment.
1. Under RIFs, close to half of the civil service will get a better severance than this offer. So any thinking person would wait for a RIF.
2. Under VERA, people will lose this "severance" but get access to their pensions years earlier. Since VERA only applies if you have 20+ years (25 if under 50) that's 20+% of their current high-3 for the rest of their lives, sets a nice baseline income. A WG employee who started at a depot at age 18 could collect their pension starting at age 43 and get $20-30k/year for the rest of their life and still be young enough to get another job and keep earning until 60 and retire a second time.
3. A substantial number of federal employees are already working on-site (not necessarily in offices) in areas where there are not a ton of other jobs. Ask a civil servant at China Lake to resign, they have to move too, there are few jobs in the area besides that base.
4. Many federal employees are federal employees because they care about the mission. They'd rather keep doing what's been asked of them to keep things like critical infrastructure operating than go home and let things fall apart because no one is doing the work.
And even if it was legal, see Twitter and severance.
> Later in the agreement, it makes clear that any of the administration’s obligations “are subject to the availability of appropriations.”
In other words, if it's not in an upcoming deal to raise the debt ceiling, then it won't necessarily be funded. As many in this thread have speculated, it is not guaranteed.
Federal workers, proceed at your own risk.
That being said, alot of the actions of the current admin are designed to push the boarders of executive power. They are trying to move fast and break things and do an end run around congressional oversight, before the courts can catch up.
The example of this is USaid, which was probably not legal in the method they went about. But no one will be putting that egg back together.
Contrast this to when Biden did his student loan forgiveness, it was telegraphed for months, and a court immediately blocked it pending review. And most importantly it was a single action.
All that being said, both are bad, my overall point is that we as Americans deserve better, and 'but they did it first' is not a valid excuse.
My hope is that we finally start reducing the power of the executive branch. The past 100 years of congress abdicating it's responsibility has been too much.
Another source of misinformation, now, maybe?
I have no clue whether these buyouts will be beneficial or not. It really depends on how government responsibilities are structured. If everything operates under the same rules but there are fewer workers to process everything, then it will hurt economic and technological growth. If, on the other hand, there is a lot of dead weight in these departments, or the rules change to streamline certain processes, then it could be a net improvement. It will probably be years before we have a definitive answer. And as you say, it will probably be different for different parts of the government.
1. Some new nuclear power plants have come online since 1975, but they were all from licenses that were initially submitted to the NRC's predecessor, the Atomic Energy Commission. Also the NRC did approve two new nuclear reactors at an existing plant, and those did begin commercial operations 19 years after the license was applied for. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vogtle_Electric_Generating_Pla...
And if we don't know if it'd be beneficial... idk, I kinda like my life? It can get really really bad? Maybe we shouldn't blindly cut and think about it?
Government workers should have no more rights than the single mother working at a restaurant or business, or anyone working at any normal business in the US.
I other words, they should not have more rights or protections than the people who pay the taxes that pay for their salaries and benefits.
One of the most fundamental problems in various types of organizations with these types of protections is what I call "human rot". These are people who are lazy and incompetent and who only remain employed because of these protections as opposed to merit, doing a good job and actually making valuable contributions to the organization.
Locally, one of the most disgusting examples I came across is a middle school "science" teacher who is a chiropractor and teaches absolute nonsense and falsehoods to our kids. For example --and this is just one of many-- he has been teaching that the moon does not spin on its axis. Yeah. Beyond that, he is a jerk to the kids and does not allow them to ask questions. He cannot be challenged or fired for any of it. He is protected. And we wonder why our results in education are shit.
They should be competent at what they do. They should be qualified. And they should not be protected from losing their jobs if they are no longer necessary or are bad at what they do. This permeates many levels of society. The local example is just the tip of the iceberg. You could go up the chain to city, state and federal and find similar problems.
It's one of the most fundamental questions and one that a lot of people do not understand because they have never run a business (or ran something trivial). There are countries where getting rid of unnecessary or incompetent employees is nearly impossible. This leads to businesses not hiring people because they cannot afford the dead weight or risk involved (also leads to illicit job markets). Being able to manage your workforce is one of the most fundamental tasks in a business. It is no different in schools or government.
We cannot optimize for the best people and best outcomes because we cannot get rid of dead weight. We get stuck with the incompetent because they cannot be fired. This is madness. And, judging from the downvotes, the ignorance does not escape some HN readers. I hope one day they are stuck with people who just burn their cash and they get nothing for it. Maybe then they will understand. It is unbelievable to me that such a fundamental understanding is lacking from society. We let idiots burn the cash we send them. There is no such thing as government money, it's our money. And it must be treated with more respect than to burn it on layers of bureaucracy and incompetence.
Why not ask yourself what is stopping yourself from having those protections in the private industry(hint: some people do have those protections in private industry) instead of focusing on taking them away from others?
Easy: Reality. Read on if you care to understand.
> Maybe instead of punching down("everyone should have to live as bad as I do/did") you should be raising people up
You are looking at this from the wrong perspective. What some of these protected groups have is a fantasy, a Ponzi scheme, that is only sustainable because they can take money away from us by force through taxation.
In the real world, a company cannot give their employees lifetime pensions at 80% of their last salary. This is crazy, yet, this happens across a bunch of government and other tax-supported entities.
I am not saying that everyone should live as bad as I do. I don't have a bad life and such is the case for most people. What I (and tens of millions of others) don't have is a fantasy where magical money supports exorbitant pensions, medical plans and other benefits.
Here's a super simplified math experiment. This isn't meant to be a precise model of reality, just a thinking tool to start to ask the right questions.
You hire a 60 year old for a job (again, for simplification). Say you pay them $100K US for that job.
Their healthcare plan costs $25K per year, which you also pay.
Five years later this person retires. Because they are in a protected class, you have to keep paying for their healthcare and, say, 80% of their salary for the rest of their lives. Let's say this person lives to 90, so 25 years.
Well, you need to hire another person to fulfill that role. You go and hire another 60 year old for the same role (simplifying so we only wait 5 years for retirement.
You pay this person the same $100K and spend $25K on health insurance.
In reality, this role now costs you $180K per year in salary and $50K per year in healthcare.
Why?
Because you have to carry the first ex-employee for the rest of his/her life.
Five years later, the second employee retires. Same protected benefits and conditions.
You hire someone for the same role again.
Now the position costs you $260K per year, plus $75K per year in medical.
You are 10 years into this experiment and the entire thing is unsustainable at best. If you have the ability to do it, you are forced to either outsource (China), negotiate a sensible deal or close down the business (because you might have dozens, hundreds or thousands of employees under similar conditions.
The steady state for this is when the oldest employees die, the limit function, if you will. At that point the role will cost you approximately $420K per year in salary and $125K per year in healthcare premiums.
This, of course, assuming there is no inflation and costs remain flat for 25 years, which isn't going to be the case at all. Assuming 5% per year inflation/cost-of-living increases, the numbers at the end of 25 years are $466K and $138K.
You see, what happens is that people read a comment such as mine and don't invest one microsecond actually thinking things through, much less analyzing it. This isn't difficult math. And this has nothing to do with wanting people to live, as you put it, as bad as I do. What I want is for the people WE pay to live in the same reality WE do. In this reality, you'd go bankrupt if you owned a business, small, medium or large, that provided such insanely irresponsible benefit packages.
In other words, these people live in a taxpayer-funded fantasy. And this is wrong.
And that doesn't even cover the issue of incompetence. If you cannot fire people when they are found to be incompetent, you might have to hire two, three or more people just to be able to get that one job done. Now were are in the realm of that position potentially costing you millions of dollars per year. This is incredibly wrong.
https://reason.org/commentary/californias-unfunded-pension-l...
Illinois:
https://www.illinoispolicy.org/illinois-state-pension-debt-c...
New Jersey:
https://www.njspotlightnews.org/2023/12/can-nj-keep-making-f...
Yet, that's nothing compared to the Federal net unfunded liability of $30 TRILLION dollars (and rising), which is equivalent to 128 percent of GDP. This is INSANE.
https://www.illinoispolicy.org/illinois-state-pension-debt-c...
We are in a crisis that is unimaginable for most people. It would not be too much of a stretch to call it existential. How many multiples of GDP can we actually survive until the entire thing comes crashing down?
So, yeah, all of the folks who's knee-jerk reaction is to downvote my reality-based post don't have a fucking clue. You'd think people on HN would at least make a little bit of an effort to do the math. Heck, ask ChatGPT if you are lazy!