I'm with you but I'm also thinking about how I didn't even see the capability we have no being as close as it was 10 years ago. In 2015 I would have guessed 2030 or beyond.
10 years on from that I don't think what we have now is so shocking.
The main problem is this waive of the hand "..and then AGI".
Who knows, maybe we even find AGI is not as useful as what it seems like it would be right now.
It mostly worries me the way "AGI" has taken on this mythic, modern quest for the holy grail/philosophers stone feel.