On the one hand you have your Anne site, on the other hand there’s decades of data.
I am sure leds technically do live longer than bulbs. But the difference is not significant enough in real life.
https://hackaday.com/2021/01/17/leds-from-dubai-the-royal-li...
I wonder how many tests are run in actual enclosures for example. Which for example might not dissipate enough heat.
I think it is too expensive to run tests in real life changing conditions
Maybe spring the extra couple of dollars and get high quality LEDs.