Hyundai just launched its cheapest EV in Japan
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electrek.co
You don't get what you don't pay for. Scary that's even an option.
It's the mass that matters. Even smaller cars, and in particular EVs, are getting heavier even though they're not getting larger. The major contributor to this weight gain is, yep, safety systems.
> It's a vicious cycle driven entirely by gaps in CAFE standards and overcompensation for perceived personal flaws.
I don't think you're being entirely objective. 1/6 of all vehicle fatalities are actually pedestrians. 1/6 are motorcycles. 1/2 involve drugs or alcohol. 1/2 are single car accidents.
There's a lot of contributors to roadway fatalities, like people who get flung out of the vehicle. That still happens more than it should.
Looking at statistics for road death in Paris for part of 2024: - 9 on foot - 1 on bike - 8 on motorbike - 1 in a car
Edit: only dead driver I could find for Paris was fleing the police and end-up in a tree.
And even if you did, there are other drivers that can crash into you at much higher speeds.
As Chinese EV makers close, drivers of “smartphones on wheels” say software updates and maintenance are in jeopardy. https://restofworld.org/2024/ev-company-shutdowns-china/
So it's probably a good idea to buy from an EV company that is profitable. For example BYD has a gross profit margin of over 20%. That's approximately double the profitability of Western firms.
You get what you pay for. Cheap junk.
It matters is because in the former case, the unit cost advantage disappears as the problem gets solved. In the latter case, it does not.
https://www.repairerdrivennews.com/2024/10/30/byd-atto-3-rec...
> Mercedes’ i5 received the best score from Euro NCAP for driver-assistance functions, and BYD’s ATTO 3 receiving the worst score
If we want more EVs in the US, we need more competitive offerings from Korea, Europe, Japan and US itself.
It helps that the initial product quality of Chinese cars from the big makers is better than American cars. Perhaps their long term quality is worse, but that's unknowable. People will judge by reports of the quality in the first year of ownership.
Chinese cars will also be helped by the use of purchased Western brands like MG and Volvo.
Compared to the same vehicle manufactured in the US, the general finishing and fitment is superior (based on people with access to vehicles made in both countries).
I have no complaints, was in better shape on delivery day than my previous Audi, which had been through “detailing” (a.k.a swirled to hell by an unskilled operator).
Outside of a few Chinese car companies are mostly small startups, here today gone tomorrow.
It's a car that several billion people in urban cores will buy. Yeah it may be a glorified golf cart.
I also think a sodium ion 50 mile all electric phev has a ten year platform cycle in the US market while charging infrastructure and solid state / sulfur techs get developed.
The Chinese and other companies will probably partner with us market companies to get the cars in somehow, even with trump in office.
Among people I know off the top of my head:
- VW diesel SUV (manual)
- domestic diesel Kia SUV (automatic)
- Tesla (auto?)
- domestic petrol ancient Daewoo (manual)
- domestic Hyundai LPG (auto)
- domestic Hyundai Hydrogen (auto)
- Honda petrol CRV (auto/CVT)
- petrol domestic Bongotype (pickup analog) (manual)
- diesel domestic Bongotype (pickup analog) (manual)
- domestic petrol Hyundai small car (auto)
- domestic petrol Kia SUV (auto)
- petrol Jaguar (auto)
it's wild. My friends and family are spread across everything from hair dressers to architects, so this kind of diversity is unusual to me.
My friends in Japan are much more focused, and the it seems to me that the brands are overcommitted to very few sets of fuels, transmissions, and technologies -- even if the form factor and packaging appear different.
With the possibility of Honda and Nissan merging among other consolidation in Japanese autos, I feel like this will only continue (saying this as a (slightly dismayed life long Honda owner).
The elephant in the room is of course the massive diversity and cost effectiveness of Chinese cars...which are completely unknown and mocked in the U.S., but turn out to be surprisingly decent these days, and are increasingly electrified and are in the process of refinement. A recent trip to Spain and Portugal reminded me that "hey these exist" and a few rides around in Ubers let me see them up close. They'd sell like hot cakes in the U.S. if they were allowed to.
https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a28903274/porsche-taycan-t...
This is a pretty standard fuel and transmission distribution here in Ireland and South Africa where I"m originally from.
Out of the ordinary would be diesel/LPG hybrids, hydrogen fueled, hydrogen hybrids etc.
It might be $18k normalized in USD, but locally still "$35k" product.
Although the price of lithium has "skyrocketed" it is now previous levels.
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/lithium
Do we see this reflected in battery or EV car prices?
The cost for the entire ICE drivetrain is estimated to be between somewhere between 1.5k to 10k depending on cars and analysts, so 8k in bare cells before factoring in engineering and manufacturing costs that aren't subsidized by a century long inertia of ICE industry is already significant extra.
Really the ones tooting "EV should be cheap to make" horn are Tesla guys. They're not doing engines unless gigacasts is a weird foreshadowing. I doubt it make sense to take it too seriously beyond as a conceptual hand-wavy panel discussion quote when the opposite had been the case for nearly 15 years.
Originally the battery cost roughly the same as the rest of the car, and for a battery that would be considered small by today's standards.
And since then the battery costs are coming down due to mass production.
This has been predicted in theory for about a decade with 100 dollars per KWh at the cell level being the crossover point where up front costs of EV are lower than ICE.
This has already occured in China.
For the most part, every car made gets sold, too. If a car is undesirable, it gets a lot of incentives to get it off the lot. If the car maker misunderstood demand, a dud can still have large sales numbers, because some people will buy it when it's cheap enough.
I think they might not be that much successful in breaking into the Japanese EV market because the Japanese don't buy products based on just price alone, but rather based on the company's nationality as well. And Koreans and Japanese are always competitors and Japanese people are quite patriotic. It will be interesting to watch, nevertheless.
I wonder what are differentiations for these cars in context of Japan against local cars with local factories. I can see that Teslas would be substantially different from Leafs, but what pain points of Japanese cars do IONIQ 5 or Seal solve?
https://www.businessinsider.com/japans-best-selling-ev-nissa....
But clearly, a less than $20k ev with ~200-220 miles, a city car, would sell very well in the us. It would open up EV ownership to more groups. Imagine what a 2 or 3 year old one would sell for? Those used ones would again open up EVs to new groups.
Americans have long commutes.
I'd love to agree because I like kei cars and small cars in general, but I don't think they would. These cars on US roads would be dwarfed by SUVs and pickups, and Americans have voted with their wallets that they don't want small cars, which is why manufacturers have almost uniformly stopped making them (most don't even make regular mid-size sedans anymore).
City drivers can pull over anytime they like for gas topups and only when they've driven the car, so setting up charging infrastructure and having to plug in every day without failure just to remove gas stops makes little sense to them. OTOH, gas stations for rural house owners are travel destinations of its own, and they welcome offgrid home charging and everyday full tanks.
Short range grocery getter EV exists in the middle ground of those extremes, only in locations where it's rural enough that finding gas is annoying enough, while at the same time daily driving range is short enough that the car's range covers it.
Only reason urban citizens would prefer EVs is if they have specific opinions about personally owning ICE device, but those people aren't the biggest majority.
In 1999.
$18k today for an electric car is far from “not cheap at all”.
I’m assuming this would go for the same price ($18k) in the US, where that would be a very good price for an EV.
I would love to see an EV in the US for sub-$20k.
It's not like this car is equivalent of 4x18k in local currency, but not that far from it.
https://www.theverge.com/2025/1/6/24336375/sony-honda-afeela...
-- spoiler alert --
Hydrogen fuel cell powered are
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/hydrogen-ladder-version-50-mi...
It is convenient for me to charge at home, moving to hydrogen would require me to visit a refuelling station again - something that costs me time so there would have to be some other benefit. The possible benefit is faster refuelling, but on long journeys my EV can drive for 2-3 hours on a 20 minute charge while I eat which is 0 minutes extra.
Those cars will become unrepairable in a few years.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/sp/mapped-ev-battery-manufa...
been there, done that
next!
PS. it _might_ work for trucks
Fuel cell cars were a great idea in a world where battery costs/weights were high. We no longer live in that world.
Norway is just about a worst case scenario for EVs. People love driving hours and hours to their cabins high up in the mountain in winter (though the pre-heating of EVs is a significant benefit in winter). The winter is brutal on the range. Others drive across Europe all the way down to Croatia in summer (Norway is in Schengen so Norwegians routinely drive to other countries). Charging infrastructure in Europe is improving every year, so every year it’s easier and easier for BEVs to drive all over Europe.
How are you going to convince me that Hydrogen can ever hope to catch up then? There may be some hypothetical hydrogen break through that could help. But then there are a dozen vastly improved EV batteries already in early/trial production.
For hydrogen to catch up, BEV development needs to stop completely in its tracks right now, and stay there forever. We also need a giant leap in electrolysis and fuel cell efficiency for hydrogen, otherwise the operating costs are just too high compared to BEV. Hydrogen needs a miracle in other words.
BTW, a hydrogen fuel station exploded near where I live. I heard it even several kilometers away. It smashed the windows of cars driving by. Luckily nobody was filling hydrogen. So yeah.. I’m certainly never buying a hydrogen car. Who the hell wants to go to some station to keep their car running? My car starts with a full tank every day. Do you go to a station to “fill” your phone?