ReadWriteWeb DeathWatch: Groupon
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See? Now you don't even have to read this article. You're welcome.
Groupon has never felt like a good deal at even half it's current share price. To me, it seems like a company who got lucky through a serendipitous combination of our "bubble 2.0" frenzy, great marketing, and cherry-picked success stories.
I really want to understand what I'm missing. Why is Groupon this titan of deal sites? Is is their color scheme? Is the technology behind their site so amazing that other companies can't conceive of them? Are Facebook and Google too stupid to come up with a decent competing product? Is it brand recognition? Is it because they have Derrick on their unsubscribe page? Please help me understand.
This was a thoroughly stupid article, no matter what you think of Groupon.
The problem was/is almost the opposite, competition. I never saw, understood Groupons sustainable competitive advantage, especially in new markets/cities. They're obviously competent, but they are so easy to copy. $10k site, $100k ad campaign, 3 salespeople and you have a Groupon clone ready to compete in any city. We have a Groupon clone in the building I work in.
Anyway (getting to the actual content of this article), GRPN & FB seem to have something in common, at least to the extent that this article is correct. By IPO time all the value was already taken off the table.
There are lots of cities where Groupon are one of several similar sized sites.
The interesting point: the couponing market is saturated, so Groupon must grow into new markets or find new products for its existing systems and software.
I wouldn't bet on this kind of metamorphosis. A slow death spiral is more likely as Groupon runs out of room to maneuver.