The military doesn't magically know what's going on better than random civilians, and in many cases is risk averse and paranoid, subject to hysterias and fads just as much as everyone else. They do have some non-public sources of data like air search radars.

All this to say, temporary airspace shutdowns don't convey any useful signal about the existence of uaps or foreign drones.

Q) ZID/QFALC/IV/NBO/A/000/999/3949N08402W005 A) KFFO B) 2412140400 C) 2412140800 E) WRIGHT PATTERSON CLASS D AIRSPACE CLOSED DUE TO SECURITY THREAT M1133/24 NOTAMN

Q) ZID/QXXXX/IV/NBO/A/000/999/3949N08402W005 A) KFFO B) 2412140403 C) 2412140800 E) CAUTION: USE EXTREME CAUTION; HEAVY UAS ACTIVITY IN KFFO SURFACE AREA”

People flying DJI Phantoms near a military base and the base suspending operations is not "no reason".

It's not "Eyerainian Turrists"

And it is certainly not aliens.

It's dumbasses flying DJI Phantoms near an airport.

Shutting down airspace around Joint Base McGuire–Dix–Lakehurst makes sense if gunnery is happening.

It's easy to do, it typically doesn't impact much, and it's great ass-covering.

If my child tells me she saw a werewolf outside, I'll bolt the door, regardless whether I believe there's a werewolf - or a dog, or a coyote, or a Bigfoot - out there.