> People aren't going to buy little usb sticks
Tons of people walk around with lots of little hardware security modules every day. They've got a wallet full of chipped credit cards, they've got car keys with transponders, etc. What's one other piece of plastic on the keyring? What's one more card in the wallet?
> some phones don't even have usb ports
Practically no smartphone sold today has no USB ports. And besides, we're talking about activating a new phone, so chances are that new phone is going to have a working USB port.
If they don't even own a smartphone and don't want to own one, well, then sure I'd agree they maybe shouldn't use passkeys. But if they're not using a smartphone they're probably not too worried about logging into their iCloud account or Google account or whatever on their dumbphone. So I don't see the issue of their dumbphone not being able to log into the services which aren't supported on the device anyways.
I'm not necessarily arguing they're for everyone, but they do apply to most people in most developed countries. They should be an optional way to access your account.
> on vacation and your phone breaks, who really keeps a second phone around constantly
It's not a second phone, its either the yubikey on my keys probably still in a bag/safe in the room if I flew somewhere or it's in my pocket.
> someone breaks in and steals your backup phone
Yeah, I'd probably want to go about disabling it eventually. But generally, I'm not too worried in the immediate time. You need to unlock the device to get access to the passkeys. If you fail too many times, you're not getting access to the passkeys, ever.
> Effectively my email account is like a second device in the password system
So effectively all your accounts are protected by a single password that's available to have people attempt your password anywhere, anytime, pretty much however fast they want to.
> Sure a second, different email account could get itself password guessed but the chances of that are so small
As someone who's managed email for a lot of people, it's really not that small of a chance if it's just a password to an email account.
The only thing I'd potentially be really worried about is a house fire, but pretty much every important account of mine has backup passphrases in the fire-resistant safe. I do live just down the street from the fire station though, so the odds of a fire burning up all my stuff including everything in the fire resistant safe seems pretty low. Probably lower than your everything in your life email protected by just a password getting hacked.