Ask HN: Is OpenAI the New AOL?

I am old enough to have lived through the AOL era, and to remember that at one point AOL bought Time Warner. I lived the dot-com era and loved it all.

I am also a fan of Clayton Christensen's The Innovator's Dilemma, and connecting the dots I can't help but wonder what's after what comes next.

OpenAI is out there very prominently, but so was AOL; but the long game didn't belong to AOL, it was created by disruptive business models like Amazon/eBay, Yahoo->Google, MySpace->Facebook and others.

At the same time timelines are faster and more compressed in this AI-era than in the internet era.

So, what is around the corner? Who will leverage the second-to-market advantage standing on the shoulders of the early giants?