Yeah, I agree. Let me take a stab at a statement that I'd bet against:

There will publicly-announced layoffs of 10 or more senior software engineers at a tech company sometime between now and December 31st, 2025. As part of the announcement of these layoffs, the company will state that the reason for the layoffs is the increasing use of LLMs replacing the work of these engineers.

I would bet 5k USD of my own money, maybe more, against the above occurring.

I hesitate to jump to the "I'm old and I've seen this all before" trope, but some of the points here feel a lot to me like "the blockchain will revolutionize everything" takes of the mid-2010s.