Followed your advice. Invested in SP500 every slide of the game, irrespective of the news (with 10x leverage).
Lost 52%.
Lost 52%.
I think “with 10% leverage” deserves a lot more than a parenthetical here.
In this experiment only 1/3 of days were random, with another third in employment report days and the last third in fed announcement days.
When I did this with -10x SP500 every day the result was a +36% return, which is surely not what you would expect if the trading days were purely random.